Liquidity, interest rates and house prices in the Euro area: a DSGE analysis

In this paper, we propose a two-country monetary union DSGE model with housing, in order to study how different shocks contributed to the increase in housing prices and credit in the EMU prior to the crisis. One of the countries is calibrated to represent the core group in the Euro area while the ot...

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Main Authors: Rubio, Margarita, Carrasco-Gallego, José A.
Format: Article
Published: Emerald 2016
Subjects:
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/30463/
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author Rubio, Margarita
Carrasco-Gallego, José A.
author_facet Rubio, Margarita
Carrasco-Gallego, José A.
author_sort Rubio, Margarita
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description In this paper, we propose a two-country monetary union DSGE model with housing, in order to study how different shocks contributed to the increase in housing prices and credit in the EMU prior to the crisis. One of the countries is calibrated to represent the core group in the Euro area while the other one corresponds to the periphery. First, we explore how a liquidity shock (or a decrease in the interest rate) affects house prices and the real economy through the asset price and the collateral channel. Then, we analyze how a house price shock in the periphery and a technology shock in the core countries are transmitted to the both economies. We find that a combination of an increase in liquidity in the Euro area coming from the common monetary policy, together with asymmetric house price and technology shocks, can explain the increase in house prices in the Euro area and the stronger credit growth in the peripheral economies in the pre-crisis period.
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spelling nottingham-304632020-05-04T17:24:54Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/30463/ Liquidity, interest rates and house prices in the Euro area: a DSGE analysis Rubio, Margarita Carrasco-Gallego, José A. In this paper, we propose a two-country monetary union DSGE model with housing, in order to study how different shocks contributed to the increase in housing prices and credit in the EMU prior to the crisis. One of the countries is calibrated to represent the core group in the Euro area while the other one corresponds to the periphery. First, we explore how a liquidity shock (or a decrease in the interest rate) affects house prices and the real economy through the asset price and the collateral channel. Then, we analyze how a house price shock in the periphery and a technology shock in the core countries are transmitted to the both economies. We find that a combination of an increase in liquidity in the Euro area coming from the common monetary policy, together with asymmetric house price and technology shocks, can explain the increase in house prices in the Euro area and the stronger credit growth in the peripheral economies in the pre-crisis period. Emerald 2016-01-01 Article PeerReviewed Rubio, Margarita and Carrasco-Gallego, José A. (2016) Liquidity, interest rates and house prices in the Euro area: a DSGE analysis. Journal of European Real Estate Research, 9 (1). pp. 4-25. ISSN 1753-9269 Liquidity Interest Rates Monetary Policy House Prices Collateral Effects Asymmetric Shocks Asset Prices http://www.emeraldinsight.com/doi/abs/10.1108/JERER-03-2015-0014 doi:10.1108/JERER-03-2015-0014 doi:10.1108/JERER-03-2015-0014
spellingShingle Liquidity
Interest Rates
Monetary Policy
House Prices
Collateral Effects
Asymmetric Shocks
Asset Prices
Rubio, Margarita
Carrasco-Gallego, José A.
Liquidity, interest rates and house prices in the Euro area: a DSGE analysis
title Liquidity, interest rates and house prices in the Euro area: a DSGE analysis
title_full Liquidity, interest rates and house prices in the Euro area: a DSGE analysis
title_fullStr Liquidity, interest rates and house prices in the Euro area: a DSGE analysis
title_full_unstemmed Liquidity, interest rates and house prices in the Euro area: a DSGE analysis
title_short Liquidity, interest rates and house prices in the Euro area: a DSGE analysis
title_sort liquidity, interest rates and house prices in the euro area: a dsge analysis
topic Liquidity
Interest Rates
Monetary Policy
House Prices
Collateral Effects
Asymmetric Shocks
Asset Prices
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/30463/
https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/30463/
https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/30463/