Volatility Spillover from Soybean Oil to Crude Palm Oil Cash and Futures – Empirical Evidence

In the recent year, market players in the global financial market view commodity market as alternative investment area. Therefore, research on volatility spillover in agricultural commodity markets has become an important area for market participants whose marketing decision and production are often...

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Main Author: Kang, ZI Xin
Format: Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)
Language:English
Published: 2015
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/28588/
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author Kang, ZI Xin
author_facet Kang, ZI Xin
author_sort Kang, ZI Xin
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description In the recent year, market players in the global financial market view commodity market as alternative investment area. Therefore, research on volatility spillover in agricultural commodity markets has become an important area for market participants whose marketing decision and production are often affected by risk and uncertainty in commodity market. Previous research has identified relationship in variability and also market precise between the other biofuel, ethanol and energy market, but limited studies has been done to evaluate volatility spillover between soybean oil and crude palm oil. This research employed GJR GRACH and Bivariate BEKK GRACH models to examine the volatility spillover from soybean oil market to crude palm oil market by using daily return from 1st Jan 2004 to 31st December. The empirical result shows that the strong evidence transmission of volatility from soybean oil market to crude palm oil market are similar in magnitude over time. The results also indicate the strong bi-directional causal relationship between crude palm oil futures and spot market after the cross market transmission from soybean oil, suggesting that return volatility in spot market can influence that in the futures market and vice versa. Thus, this result also indicates that new information is reflected in futures and spot markets simultaneously.
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spelling nottingham-285882018-02-06T18:09:51Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/28588/ Volatility Spillover from Soybean Oil to Crude Palm Oil Cash and Futures – Empirical Evidence Kang, ZI Xin In the recent year, market players in the global financial market view commodity market as alternative investment area. Therefore, research on volatility spillover in agricultural commodity markets has become an important area for market participants whose marketing decision and production are often affected by risk and uncertainty in commodity market. Previous research has identified relationship in variability and also market precise between the other biofuel, ethanol and energy market, but limited studies has been done to evaluate volatility spillover between soybean oil and crude palm oil. This research employed GJR GRACH and Bivariate BEKK GRACH models to examine the volatility spillover from soybean oil market to crude palm oil market by using daily return from 1st Jan 2004 to 31st December. The empirical result shows that the strong evidence transmission of volatility from soybean oil market to crude palm oil market are similar in magnitude over time. The results also indicate the strong bi-directional causal relationship between crude palm oil futures and spot market after the cross market transmission from soybean oil, suggesting that return volatility in spot market can influence that in the futures market and vice versa. Thus, this result also indicates that new information is reflected in futures and spot markets simultaneously. 2015-02 Dissertation (University of Nottingham only) NonPeerReviewed application/pdf en https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/28588/1/KangZiXin.pdf Kang, ZI Xin (2015) Volatility Spillover from Soybean Oil to Crude Palm Oil Cash and Futures – Empirical Evidence. [Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)]
spellingShingle Kang, ZI Xin
Volatility Spillover from Soybean Oil to Crude Palm Oil Cash and Futures – Empirical Evidence
title Volatility Spillover from Soybean Oil to Crude Palm Oil Cash and Futures – Empirical Evidence
title_full Volatility Spillover from Soybean Oil to Crude Palm Oil Cash and Futures – Empirical Evidence
title_fullStr Volatility Spillover from Soybean Oil to Crude Palm Oil Cash and Futures – Empirical Evidence
title_full_unstemmed Volatility Spillover from Soybean Oil to Crude Palm Oil Cash and Futures – Empirical Evidence
title_short Volatility Spillover from Soybean Oil to Crude Palm Oil Cash and Futures – Empirical Evidence
title_sort volatility spillover from soybean oil to crude palm oil cash and futures – empirical evidence
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/28588/