Confidence trick: the interpretation of confidence intervals

The frequent misinterpretation of the nature of confidence intervals by students has been well documented. This article examines the problem as an aspect of the learning of mathematical definitions and considers the tension between parroting mathematically rigorous, but essentially uninternalized, s...

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Main Author: Foster, Colin
Format: Article
Published: Routledge 2014
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/27858/
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author Foster, Colin
author_facet Foster, Colin
author_sort Foster, Colin
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description The frequent misinterpretation of the nature of confidence intervals by students has been well documented. This article examines the problem as an aspect of the learning of mathematical definitions and considers the tension between parroting mathematically rigorous, but essentially uninternalized, statements on the one hand and expressing imperfect but developing understandings on the other. A small-scale study among schoolteachers sought comments on four definitions expressing differing understandings of confidence intervals, and these are examined and discussed. The article concludes that some student wordings could be regarded as less inaccurate than they might seem at first sight and presents a case for accepting a wider range of more intuitive understandings as a work in progress.
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spelling nottingham-278582020-05-04T16:45:00Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/27858/ Confidence trick: the interpretation of confidence intervals Foster, Colin The frequent misinterpretation of the nature of confidence intervals by students has been well documented. This article examines the problem as an aspect of the learning of mathematical definitions and considers the tension between parroting mathematically rigorous, but essentially uninternalized, statements on the one hand and expressing imperfect but developing understandings on the other. A small-scale study among schoolteachers sought comments on four definitions expressing differing understandings of confidence intervals, and these are examined and discussed. The article concludes that some student wordings could be regarded as less inaccurate than they might seem at first sight and presents a case for accepting a wider range of more intuitive understandings as a work in progress. Routledge 2014-03-11 Article PeerReviewed Foster, Colin (2014) Confidence trick: the interpretation of confidence intervals. Canadian Journal of Science, Mathematics, and Technology Education, 4 (1). pp. 23-34. ISSN 1492-6156 http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/14926156.2014.874615 doi:10.1080/14926156.2014.874615 doi:10.1080/14926156.2014.874615
spellingShingle Foster, Colin
Confidence trick: the interpretation of confidence intervals
title Confidence trick: the interpretation of confidence intervals
title_full Confidence trick: the interpretation of confidence intervals
title_fullStr Confidence trick: the interpretation of confidence intervals
title_full_unstemmed Confidence trick: the interpretation of confidence intervals
title_short Confidence trick: the interpretation of confidence intervals
title_sort confidence trick: the interpretation of confidence intervals
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/27858/
https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/27858/
https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/27858/