Option Pricing Model Based on the Stochastic Volatility and Jump Diffusion Process

Although the Black and Scholes (1973) model achieved great success in option pricing theory, the two obvious phenomena have received much attention in past decades (Kou, 2002). One is the asymmetric leptokurtic features; the other is the volatility “smiles”. To modify the Black and Scholes (1973) mo...

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Main Author: Liu, Xudong
Format: Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)
Language:English
Published: 2014
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/27402/
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author Liu, Xudong
author_facet Liu, Xudong
author_sort Liu, Xudong
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description Although the Black and Scholes (1973) model achieved great success in option pricing theory, the two obvious phenomena have received much attention in past decades (Kou, 2002). One is the asymmetric leptokurtic features; the other is the volatility “smiles”. To modify the Black and Scholes (1973) model, we introduce the Kou (2002) double exponential jump-diffusion model. It is more consistent with the price process than the Black and Scholes (1973) model. The Kou (2002) model not only contains the "normal" continuous process but also include "abnormal" jumps caused by outside news. Furthermore, to describe the stochastic volatility, we introduce GARCH (1,1) for its good performance on estimation of volatility. We update the Black and Scholes (1973) and the Kou (2002)model by substituting the constant volatility for the stochastic one. To compare the model, we choose Monte Carlo simulation to estimate the theoretical option price of S&P 500 in the empirical study. The performance of the Kou (2002) model is much better than the Black and Scholes (1973) model. The performance Black and Scholes (1973) & GARCH (1,1) model is the worst, and the Kou (2002) & GARCH (1,1) model is not better than the Kou (2002) model.
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spelling nottingham-274022017-10-19T13:59:19Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/27402/ Option Pricing Model Based on the Stochastic Volatility and Jump Diffusion Process Liu, Xudong Although the Black and Scholes (1973) model achieved great success in option pricing theory, the two obvious phenomena have received much attention in past decades (Kou, 2002). One is the asymmetric leptokurtic features; the other is the volatility “smiles”. To modify the Black and Scholes (1973) model, we introduce the Kou (2002) double exponential jump-diffusion model. It is more consistent with the price process than the Black and Scholes (1973) model. The Kou (2002) model not only contains the "normal" continuous process but also include "abnormal" jumps caused by outside news. Furthermore, to describe the stochastic volatility, we introduce GARCH (1,1) for its good performance on estimation of volatility. We update the Black and Scholes (1973) and the Kou (2002)model by substituting the constant volatility for the stochastic one. To compare the model, we choose Monte Carlo simulation to estimate the theoretical option price of S&P 500 in the empirical study. The performance of the Kou (2002) model is much better than the Black and Scholes (1973) model. The performance Black and Scholes (1973) & GARCH (1,1) model is the worst, and the Kou (2002) & GARCH (1,1) model is not better than the Kou (2002) model. 2014-09-18 Dissertation (University of Nottingham only) NonPeerReviewed application/pdf en https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/27402/1/thesis.pdf Liu, Xudong (2014) Option Pricing Model Based on the Stochastic Volatility and Jump Diffusion Process. [Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)] (Unpublished)
spellingShingle Liu, Xudong
Option Pricing Model Based on the Stochastic Volatility and Jump Diffusion Process
title Option Pricing Model Based on the Stochastic Volatility and Jump Diffusion Process
title_full Option Pricing Model Based on the Stochastic Volatility and Jump Diffusion Process
title_fullStr Option Pricing Model Based on the Stochastic Volatility and Jump Diffusion Process
title_full_unstemmed Option Pricing Model Based on the Stochastic Volatility and Jump Diffusion Process
title_short Option Pricing Model Based on the Stochastic Volatility and Jump Diffusion Process
title_sort option pricing model based on the stochastic volatility and jump diffusion process
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/27402/