An Evaluation of Value at Risk Models in Chinese Stock Market

The aim of this article is to examine the predictive performance of VaR model in Chinese stock market and try to find the rational choice of models for China. In order to achieve this goal, Historical simulation approach, Bootstrapped HS, Hull White method, parametric approach with volatility adjust...

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Main Author: Xiao, Ying
Format: Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)
Language:English
Published: 2013
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/26670/
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author Xiao, Ying
author_facet Xiao, Ying
author_sort Xiao, Ying
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description The aim of this article is to examine the predictive performance of VaR model in Chinese stock market and try to find the rational choice of models for China. In order to achieve this goal, Historical simulation approach, Bootstrapped HS, Hull White method, parametric approach with volatility adjustment, Generalized extreme value theory and Peaks-over-threshold approach are applied to the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (SSECI) and Shenzhen Stock Exchange Composite Index (SZSECI) to estimate the one-day VaR. Then, two backtesting method-Kupiec test and the Conditional Coverage test are carried our to test the validity of these models. It could be concluded that the Hull White approach and the parametric method with volatility adjustment tend to be the proper models for Chinese stock market.
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format Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)
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institution University of Nottingham Malaysia Campus
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language English
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publishDate 2013
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spelling nottingham-266702017-10-19T13:32:31Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/26670/ An Evaluation of Value at Risk Models in Chinese Stock Market Xiao, Ying The aim of this article is to examine the predictive performance of VaR model in Chinese stock market and try to find the rational choice of models for China. In order to achieve this goal, Historical simulation approach, Bootstrapped HS, Hull White method, parametric approach with volatility adjustment, Generalized extreme value theory and Peaks-over-threshold approach are applied to the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (SSECI) and Shenzhen Stock Exchange Composite Index (SZSECI) to estimate the one-day VaR. Then, two backtesting method-Kupiec test and the Conditional Coverage test are carried our to test the validity of these models. It could be concluded that the Hull White approach and the parametric method with volatility adjustment tend to be the proper models for Chinese stock market. 2013-12-11 Dissertation (University of Nottingham only) NonPeerReviewed application/pdf en https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/26670/1/Dissertation.pdf Xiao, Ying (2013) An Evaluation of Value at Risk Models in Chinese Stock Market. [Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)] (Unpublished)
spellingShingle Xiao, Ying
An Evaluation of Value at Risk Models in Chinese Stock Market
title An Evaluation of Value at Risk Models in Chinese Stock Market
title_full An Evaluation of Value at Risk Models in Chinese Stock Market
title_fullStr An Evaluation of Value at Risk Models in Chinese Stock Market
title_full_unstemmed An Evaluation of Value at Risk Models in Chinese Stock Market
title_short An Evaluation of Value at Risk Models in Chinese Stock Market
title_sort evaluation of value at risk models in chinese stock market
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/26670/