A preliminary quantitative research on dividend policy and its impact on share prices

This report is designed to find out the relationship between dividend policy and share price, generally, there are two camps theories within this area, one of them argues the dividend policy do not influence share value while the other one argues the dividend policy can affect share value via differ...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Xiao, Dezhi
Format: Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)
Language:English
Published: 2013
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/26632/
_version_ 1848793214267424768
author Xiao, Dezhi
author_facet Xiao, Dezhi
author_sort Xiao, Dezhi
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description This report is designed to find out the relationship between dividend policy and share price, generally, there are two camps theories within this area, one of them argues the dividend policy do not influence share value while the other one argues the dividend policy can affect share value via different approaches. Therefore, this report attempts to identify the relationship between dividend policy and share price via conducting an OLS analysis in 60 UK listed companies. Then, the result can be utilized as a new piece of evidence in modern capital market to demonstrate whether dividend policy has impacts on share price. After the data has been analyzed via OLS, the coefficient between dividend payout ratio and share price has been found and this coefficient suggests that there is no significant relationships between dividend policy and share price as the coefficient is quite small and insignificant. Hence, this result proves the dividend policy is irrelevant to share price in the current capital market as Miller and Modigliani (1961) proposed. Also, this report finds the earning per share (EPS) is strong positively related to share price, once again, this result proves M&M argument, the only factor which affects share price is company's earning ability not how it distributes its profit. In addition, for the practical implication, investors can use EPS as a decent filter in choosing shares to make their investment more profitable as the OLS model contains a relative high adjusted R square (about 70%) in explaining share prices and the EPS have a positive coefficient to share price within significant. Overall, this report finds out that the dividend policy do not affect share price, but the EPS is positively related to share price, and it can be a good explanatory factor in predicting share price.
first_indexed 2025-11-14T18:56:44Z
format Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)
id nottingham-26632
institution University of Nottingham Malaysia Campus
institution_category Local University
language English
last_indexed 2025-11-14T18:56:44Z
publishDate 2013
recordtype eprints
repository_type Digital Repository
spelling nottingham-266322017-10-19T13:35:03Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/26632/ A preliminary quantitative research on dividend policy and its impact on share prices Xiao, Dezhi This report is designed to find out the relationship between dividend policy and share price, generally, there are two camps theories within this area, one of them argues the dividend policy do not influence share value while the other one argues the dividend policy can affect share value via different approaches. Therefore, this report attempts to identify the relationship between dividend policy and share price via conducting an OLS analysis in 60 UK listed companies. Then, the result can be utilized as a new piece of evidence in modern capital market to demonstrate whether dividend policy has impacts on share price. After the data has been analyzed via OLS, the coefficient between dividend payout ratio and share price has been found and this coefficient suggests that there is no significant relationships between dividend policy and share price as the coefficient is quite small and insignificant. Hence, this result proves the dividend policy is irrelevant to share price in the current capital market as Miller and Modigliani (1961) proposed. Also, this report finds the earning per share (EPS) is strong positively related to share price, once again, this result proves M&M argument, the only factor which affects share price is company's earning ability not how it distributes its profit. In addition, for the practical implication, investors can use EPS as a decent filter in choosing shares to make their investment more profitable as the OLS model contains a relative high adjusted R square (about 70%) in explaining share prices and the EPS have a positive coefficient to share price within significant. Overall, this report finds out that the dividend policy do not affect share price, but the EPS is positively related to share price, and it can be a good explanatory factor in predicting share price. 2013-09-20 Dissertation (University of Nottingham only) NonPeerReviewed application/pdf en https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/26632/1/Dezhi_Xiao.pdf Xiao, Dezhi (2013) A preliminary quantitative research on dividend policy and its impact on share prices. [Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)] (Unpublished)
spellingShingle Xiao, Dezhi
A preliminary quantitative research on dividend policy and its impact on share prices
title A preliminary quantitative research on dividend policy and its impact on share prices
title_full A preliminary quantitative research on dividend policy and its impact on share prices
title_fullStr A preliminary quantitative research on dividend policy and its impact on share prices
title_full_unstemmed A preliminary quantitative research on dividend policy and its impact on share prices
title_short A preliminary quantitative research on dividend policy and its impact on share prices
title_sort preliminary quantitative research on dividend policy and its impact on share prices
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/26632/