Analyzing the Efficiency and Loan Loss Provisioning of the Banks in Hong Kong

This study examines the efficiency and determinants of loan loss provisions by using data from 19 commercial banks in Hong Kong over the period 2006-2011. Distinct from previous studies, we conduct a two-stage analysis, in the first stage X-efficiency is estimated and then included in the second sta...

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Main Author: Chan, Hiu Man
Format: Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)
Language:English
Published: 2013
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/26467/
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author Chan, Hiu Man
author_facet Chan, Hiu Man
author_sort Chan, Hiu Man
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description This study examines the efficiency and determinants of loan loss provisions by using data from 19 commercial banks in Hong Kong over the period 2006-2011. Distinct from previous studies, we conduct a two-stage analysis, in the first stage X-efficiency is estimated and then included in the second stage for the estimation of determinants of loan loss provisions using system GMM estimation method. In particular, we examine the income smoothing and capital management hypothesis, the relationship between loan loss provisions and the business cycle (i.e. pro-cyclicality and counter-cyclicality) as well as the effect of X-efficiency on loan loss provisioning. Our findings demonstrate that Hong Kong banks exhibit income smoothing, however, the income smoothing effect is mitigated by the pro-cyclicality provisioning. Since Hong Kong implemented the IAS 39 in 2005, this backward looking provisioning guideline is accused as the cause of the pro-cyclicality provisioning. By including X-efficiency as one of the determinants, we control for the management effect on loan loss provisions, we find that Hong Kong banks manipulate earnings not for the purpose of smooth earnings, but for the prudent management, they set aside extra capital buffer for future loss. Moreover, there is sign of capital management by Hong Kong banks in which they manipulate the loan loss provisions for the purpose of maintaining stable dividend ratio and setting aside excess capital preparing for future loss as well as the increase of capital buffer under Basel III requirement. This prudent practice of Hong Kong banks is probably the result of tightened capital requirement by regulators (i.e. Basel, HKMA etc.) as well as the proposed expected loss approach in loan loss provisioning.
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spelling nottingham-264672017-10-19T13:27:28Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/26467/ Analyzing the Efficiency and Loan Loss Provisioning of the Banks in Hong Kong Chan, Hiu Man This study examines the efficiency and determinants of loan loss provisions by using data from 19 commercial banks in Hong Kong over the period 2006-2011. Distinct from previous studies, we conduct a two-stage analysis, in the first stage X-efficiency is estimated and then included in the second stage for the estimation of determinants of loan loss provisions using system GMM estimation method. In particular, we examine the income smoothing and capital management hypothesis, the relationship between loan loss provisions and the business cycle (i.e. pro-cyclicality and counter-cyclicality) as well as the effect of X-efficiency on loan loss provisioning. Our findings demonstrate that Hong Kong banks exhibit income smoothing, however, the income smoothing effect is mitigated by the pro-cyclicality provisioning. Since Hong Kong implemented the IAS 39 in 2005, this backward looking provisioning guideline is accused as the cause of the pro-cyclicality provisioning. By including X-efficiency as one of the determinants, we control for the management effect on loan loss provisions, we find that Hong Kong banks manipulate earnings not for the purpose of smooth earnings, but for the prudent management, they set aside extra capital buffer for future loss. Moreover, there is sign of capital management by Hong Kong banks in which they manipulate the loan loss provisions for the purpose of maintaining stable dividend ratio and setting aside excess capital preparing for future loss as well as the increase of capital buffer under Basel III requirement. This prudent practice of Hong Kong banks is probably the result of tightened capital requirement by regulators (i.e. Basel, HKMA etc.) as well as the proposed expected loss approach in loan loss provisioning. 2013-09-11 Dissertation (University of Nottingham only) NonPeerReviewed application/pdf en https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/26467/1/Dissertation_Chan_Hiu_Man_Joanne.pdf Chan, Hiu Man (2013) Analyzing the Efficiency and Loan Loss Provisioning of the Banks in Hong Kong. [Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)] (Unpublished)
spellingShingle Chan, Hiu Man
Analyzing the Efficiency and Loan Loss Provisioning of the Banks in Hong Kong
title Analyzing the Efficiency and Loan Loss Provisioning of the Banks in Hong Kong
title_full Analyzing the Efficiency and Loan Loss Provisioning of the Banks in Hong Kong
title_fullStr Analyzing the Efficiency and Loan Loss Provisioning of the Banks in Hong Kong
title_full_unstemmed Analyzing the Efficiency and Loan Loss Provisioning of the Banks in Hong Kong
title_short Analyzing the Efficiency and Loan Loss Provisioning of the Banks in Hong Kong
title_sort analyzing the efficiency and loan loss provisioning of the banks in hong kong
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/26467/