Combined Forecasting - Linear Programming

A large literature has accumulated over the years regarding the application of Linear programming in the area of forecasting. This study investigates whether LP models is an attractive technique for forecasting in terms of accuracy improvement. In addition, the performance of the individual forecast...

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Main Author: Trinh, Hoang Quan
Format: Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)
Language:English
Published: 2012
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/25889/
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author Trinh, Hoang Quan
author_facet Trinh, Hoang Quan
author_sort Trinh, Hoang Quan
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description A large literature has accumulated over the years regarding the application of Linear programming in the area of forecasting. This study investigates whether LP models is an attractive technique for forecasting in terms of accuracy improvement. In addition, the performance of the individual forecasts is also tested and compared with traditional combinations methods in order to examine whether the combined forecasts improve the performance of the individual forecasting techniques. The primary conclusion of this research is that LP models can be used as a forecasting tool. They outperform the traditional combination techniques as well as individual techniques in general. In addition, from the findings, it can be concluded that forecast accuracy can be substantially improved through the combination of multiple individual forecasts. The limitation of the study is the small number used of time series, forecasting models as well as forecasting error measures in running experiments. Recommendations for future research directions include (1) an increase of above mentioned components in experiments, (2) study of application of linear programming and combined forecasts in the areas of business and operations management, (3) development of combining forecasts in an optimal way, and (4) automation of time series classification and analysis process.
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spelling nottingham-258892017-10-19T13:09:41Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/25889/ Combined Forecasting - Linear Programming Trinh, Hoang Quan A large literature has accumulated over the years regarding the application of Linear programming in the area of forecasting. This study investigates whether LP models is an attractive technique for forecasting in terms of accuracy improvement. In addition, the performance of the individual forecasts is also tested and compared with traditional combinations methods in order to examine whether the combined forecasts improve the performance of the individual forecasting techniques. The primary conclusion of this research is that LP models can be used as a forecasting tool. They outperform the traditional combination techniques as well as individual techniques in general. In addition, from the findings, it can be concluded that forecast accuracy can be substantially improved through the combination of multiple individual forecasts. The limitation of the study is the small number used of time series, forecasting models as well as forecasting error measures in running experiments. Recommendations for future research directions include (1) an increase of above mentioned components in experiments, (2) study of application of linear programming and combined forecasts in the areas of business and operations management, (3) development of combining forecasts in an optimal way, and (4) automation of time series classification and analysis process. 2012-09-20 Dissertation (University of Nottingham only) NonPeerReviewed application/pdf en https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/25889/1/Dissertation.pdf Trinh, Hoang Quan (2012) Combined Forecasting - Linear Programming. [Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)] (Unpublished)
spellingShingle Trinh, Hoang Quan
Combined Forecasting - Linear Programming
title Combined Forecasting - Linear Programming
title_full Combined Forecasting - Linear Programming
title_fullStr Combined Forecasting - Linear Programming
title_full_unstemmed Combined Forecasting - Linear Programming
title_short Combined Forecasting - Linear Programming
title_sort combined forecasting - linear programming
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/25889/