Pro-cyclicality and the Discretionary use of Loan Loss Provisions: Evidence from GCC Banks

Of the current debate on the resilience of banking systems, what seems to be one of the most critical issues is with regards to the inherent pro-cyclicality in banking systems all over the world particularly in its capital, credit extension and loan loss provisioning. The critical nature of this pro...

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Main Author: Anandaraman, Adithya
Format: Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)
Language:English
Published: 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/25761/
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author Anandaraman, Adithya
author_facet Anandaraman, Adithya
author_sort Anandaraman, Adithya
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description Of the current debate on the resilience of banking systems, what seems to be one of the most critical issues is with regards to the inherent pro-cyclicality in banking systems all over the world particularly in its capital, credit extension and loan loss provisioning. The critical nature of this problem lies in the systemic risks it poses to the economy at large during economic downturns. This study examines the pro-cyclical nature of loan loss provisions in 65 banks from the oil-rich Gulf Co-operation Council region and also estimates whether these banks use discretion in loan loss provisions to manage their regulatory capital and income. Results establish that loan loss provisions are indeed pro-cyclical and backward looking. On the other hand, the study finds that banks do not use discretionary provisions to manage their capital. The study however does not find sufficient evidence whether banks smooth their incomes using provisions or not. The evidence of pro-cyclicality in provisioning amongst GCC banks established in this study is particularly important to regulators and banks in the GCC region to adopt more prudent provisioning practises that are forward-looking and counter-cyclical in order to curtail the systemic risk banks may pose otherwise on the economy.
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spelling nottingham-257612018-01-02T06:50:01Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/25761/ Pro-cyclicality and the Discretionary use of Loan Loss Provisions: Evidence from GCC Banks Anandaraman, Adithya Of the current debate on the resilience of banking systems, what seems to be one of the most critical issues is with regards to the inherent pro-cyclicality in banking systems all over the world particularly in its capital, credit extension and loan loss provisioning. The critical nature of this problem lies in the systemic risks it poses to the economy at large during economic downturns. This study examines the pro-cyclical nature of loan loss provisions in 65 banks from the oil-rich Gulf Co-operation Council region and also estimates whether these banks use discretion in loan loss provisions to manage their regulatory capital and income. Results establish that loan loss provisions are indeed pro-cyclical and backward looking. On the other hand, the study finds that banks do not use discretionary provisions to manage their capital. The study however does not find sufficient evidence whether banks smooth their incomes using provisions or not. The evidence of pro-cyclicality in provisioning amongst GCC banks established in this study is particularly important to regulators and banks in the GCC region to adopt more prudent provisioning practises that are forward-looking and counter-cyclical in order to curtail the systemic risk banks may pose otherwise on the economy. 2012-09-18 Dissertation (University of Nottingham only) NonPeerReviewed application/pdf en https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/25761/1/Dissertation.pdf Anandaraman, Adithya (2012) Pro-cyclicality and the Discretionary use of Loan Loss Provisions: Evidence from GCC Banks. [Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)] (Unpublished) Pro-cyclicality Loan Loss Provisions Discretionary Non-discretionary GCC Oil-sector Non-oil sector Global Financial Crisis Credit risk Income smoothing Basel
spellingShingle Pro-cyclicality
Loan Loss Provisions
Discretionary
Non-discretionary
GCC
Oil-sector
Non-oil sector
Global Financial Crisis
Credit risk
Income smoothing
Basel
Anandaraman, Adithya
Pro-cyclicality and the Discretionary use of Loan Loss Provisions: Evidence from GCC Banks
title Pro-cyclicality and the Discretionary use of Loan Loss Provisions: Evidence from GCC Banks
title_full Pro-cyclicality and the Discretionary use of Loan Loss Provisions: Evidence from GCC Banks
title_fullStr Pro-cyclicality and the Discretionary use of Loan Loss Provisions: Evidence from GCC Banks
title_full_unstemmed Pro-cyclicality and the Discretionary use of Loan Loss Provisions: Evidence from GCC Banks
title_short Pro-cyclicality and the Discretionary use of Loan Loss Provisions: Evidence from GCC Banks
title_sort pro-cyclicality and the discretionary use of loan loss provisions: evidence from gcc banks
topic Pro-cyclicality
Loan Loss Provisions
Discretionary
Non-discretionary
GCC
Oil-sector
Non-oil sector
Global Financial Crisis
Credit risk
Income smoothing
Basel
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/25761/