Loan loss provisions and pro-cyclicality: the case of Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS).

In the light of the recent global crisis the disputes related to the pro-cyclicality of banks’ loan loss provisioning behaviour became one of the widely discussed topics in existing research. The core idea of the problem states that banks create fewer provisions during good times while during bad ti...

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Main Author: Mussabekova, Raushan
Format: Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)
Language:English
Published: 2011
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/24929/
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author Mussabekova, Raushan
author_facet Mussabekova, Raushan
author_sort Mussabekova, Raushan
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description In the light of the recent global crisis the disputes related to the pro-cyclicality of banks’ loan loss provisioning behaviour became one of the widely discussed topics in existing research. The core idea of the problem states that banks create fewer provisions during good times while during bad times provisioning level significantly increases which leads to the decline of lending in the economy at the same time as the country desperately needs credit from the banks. Previous empirical research documented cases of pro-cyclical bank provisioning behaviour. In this research loan loss provisions of CIS banks have been examined for the presence of pro-cyclicality. Following the outcomes of existing research we have tested three hypotheses: the pro-cyclicality hypothesis, income smoothing and capital management hypotheses. Based on the sample of 64 commercial banks from Kazakhstan, Russia and Ukraine which have the most advanced banking systems among CIS countries the results indicate confirmation of pro-cyclical loan loss provisioning behaviour. However our empirical results have revealed signs of counter-cyclicality in provisioning systems of CIS banks, because the Russian regulation for standard loans from homogenous group and Ukraine for all standard loans obliges banks to create general loan loss provisions. However we have not documented income smoothing among CIS banks and test results have shown that loan loss provision changes fail to relate to the changes of earnings before taxes and provisions. Capital management hypothesis has been confirmed meaning that CIS banks use loan loss provisions for improvement of their capital ratios.
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spelling nottingham-249292022-03-21T16:09:32Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/24929/ Loan loss provisions and pro-cyclicality: the case of Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS). Mussabekova, Raushan In the light of the recent global crisis the disputes related to the pro-cyclicality of banks’ loan loss provisioning behaviour became one of the widely discussed topics in existing research. The core idea of the problem states that banks create fewer provisions during good times while during bad times provisioning level significantly increases which leads to the decline of lending in the economy at the same time as the country desperately needs credit from the banks. Previous empirical research documented cases of pro-cyclical bank provisioning behaviour. In this research loan loss provisions of CIS banks have been examined for the presence of pro-cyclicality. Following the outcomes of existing research we have tested three hypotheses: the pro-cyclicality hypothesis, income smoothing and capital management hypotheses. Based on the sample of 64 commercial banks from Kazakhstan, Russia and Ukraine which have the most advanced banking systems among CIS countries the results indicate confirmation of pro-cyclical loan loss provisioning behaviour. However our empirical results have revealed signs of counter-cyclicality in provisioning systems of CIS banks, because the Russian regulation for standard loans from homogenous group and Ukraine for all standard loans obliges banks to create general loan loss provisions. However we have not documented income smoothing among CIS banks and test results have shown that loan loss provision changes fail to relate to the changes of earnings before taxes and provisions. Capital management hypothesis has been confirmed meaning that CIS banks use loan loss provisions for improvement of their capital ratios. 2011-12-15 Dissertation (University of Nottingham only) NonPeerReviewed application/pdf en https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/24929/1/Dissertation_Raushan.pdf Mussabekova, Raushan (2011) Loan loss provisions and pro-cyclicality: the case of Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS). [Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)] (Unpublished)
spellingShingle Mussabekova, Raushan
Loan loss provisions and pro-cyclicality: the case of Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS).
title Loan loss provisions and pro-cyclicality: the case of Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS).
title_full Loan loss provisions and pro-cyclicality: the case of Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS).
title_fullStr Loan loss provisions and pro-cyclicality: the case of Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS).
title_full_unstemmed Loan loss provisions and pro-cyclicality: the case of Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS).
title_short Loan loss provisions and pro-cyclicality: the case of Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS).
title_sort loan loss provisions and pro-cyclicality: the case of commonwealth of independent states (cis).
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/24929/