Calendar Effect in the Malaysia Stock Market

The presence of the calendar effect has been recognized in equity markets throughout the world. Most of the studies reporting on this pattern have relied on the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) methodology. More recently, researchers have improved their studies by using a more advance methodology, produc...

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Main Author: Hue, Han Pin
Format: Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)
Language:English
Published: 2010
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/24701/
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author Hue, Han Pin
author_facet Hue, Han Pin
author_sort Hue, Han Pin
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description The presence of the calendar effect has been recognized in equity markets throughout the world. Most of the studies reporting on this pattern have relied on the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) methodology. More recently, researchers have improved their studies by using a more advance methodology, producing more robust results. This paper is to examine the existence of calendar effect in the Malaysia stock market by using the OLS as well as Generalized Autoregressive Conditionally Heteroskedastic (GARCH) models. To examine the daily and monthly calendar anomalies in the Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI), from the period of 1993 to 2005 by categorizing it into three periods, pre-crisis, during crisis and post crisis period. The results indicate that month of the year effect does not exist in Malaysia as a calendar anomaly while day-of-the week effect does. These findings are consistent with the previous studies, of which they had found a negative mean return on Monday. Besides, further analysis is carried out by using TGARCH and EGARCH model to capture the asymmetrical behavior of investors. Finally yet importantly, this study also looks into the time zone hypothesis, of which it attempts to find out if the US return on day t (effectively day t-1 for Malaysian investors) will have an impact on Today’s Malaysia return. And, based on the findings, can conclude that US return does pose an impact on Malaysia return, resulting in a seasonal pattern in the market returns.
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spelling nottingham-247012017-12-31T23:07:03Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/24701/ Calendar Effect in the Malaysia Stock Market Hue, Han Pin The presence of the calendar effect has been recognized in equity markets throughout the world. Most of the studies reporting on this pattern have relied on the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) methodology. More recently, researchers have improved their studies by using a more advance methodology, producing more robust results. This paper is to examine the existence of calendar effect in the Malaysia stock market by using the OLS as well as Generalized Autoregressive Conditionally Heteroskedastic (GARCH) models. To examine the daily and monthly calendar anomalies in the Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI), from the period of 1993 to 2005 by categorizing it into three periods, pre-crisis, during crisis and post crisis period. The results indicate that month of the year effect does not exist in Malaysia as a calendar anomaly while day-of-the week effect does. These findings are consistent with the previous studies, of which they had found a negative mean return on Monday. Besides, further analysis is carried out by using TGARCH and EGARCH model to capture the asymmetrical behavior of investors. Finally yet importantly, this study also looks into the time zone hypothesis, of which it attempts to find out if the US return on day t (effectively day t-1 for Malaysian investors) will have an impact on Today’s Malaysia return. And, based on the findings, can conclude that US return does pose an impact on Malaysia return, resulting in a seasonal pattern in the market returns. 2010 Dissertation (University of Nottingham only) NonPeerReviewed application/pdf en https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/24701/1/HueHanPin.pdf Hue, Han Pin (2010) Calendar Effect in the Malaysia Stock Market. [Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)] (Unpublished)
spellingShingle Hue, Han Pin
Calendar Effect in the Malaysia Stock Market
title Calendar Effect in the Malaysia Stock Market
title_full Calendar Effect in the Malaysia Stock Market
title_fullStr Calendar Effect in the Malaysia Stock Market
title_full_unstemmed Calendar Effect in the Malaysia Stock Market
title_short Calendar Effect in the Malaysia Stock Market
title_sort calendar effect in the malaysia stock market
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/24701/