Predicting Bank Failures: Empirical Evidence from Asian Banks

This study compares different empirical models to assess the probability of failure of Asian banks; the Probit model and the Cox proportional hazard model. The determining factors are bank-specific but not confined to traditional financial indicators which only assess capital adequacy, asset quality...

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Main Author: Abdul Rahim, Raiyan
Format: Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)
Language:English
Published: 2010
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/24689/
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author Abdul Rahim, Raiyan
author_facet Abdul Rahim, Raiyan
author_sort Abdul Rahim, Raiyan
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description This study compares different empirical models to assess the probability of failure of Asian banks; the Probit model and the Cox proportional hazard model. The determining factors are bank-specific but not confined to traditional financial indicators which only assess capital adequacy, asset quality, earnings and liquidity. Our study extends banking performance evaluation by including indicators which capture information relating to the bank’s business structure, off balance sheet items, derivative investments and credit risk. Our study analyzes banking failure in nine countries in Asia over the last decade. We discover that the Probit model and the Cox proportional hazard model produce very similar results in assessing the probability of a bank becoming inactive. All traditional indicators were shown to be influential factors but for the non-traditional indicators, only ratios for derivatives and credit risk were found to be significant.
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format Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)
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institution University of Nottingham Malaysia Campus
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language English
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publishDate 2010
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spelling nottingham-246892018-02-05T00:24:48Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/24689/ Predicting Bank Failures: Empirical Evidence from Asian Banks Abdul Rahim, Raiyan This study compares different empirical models to assess the probability of failure of Asian banks; the Probit model and the Cox proportional hazard model. The determining factors are bank-specific but not confined to traditional financial indicators which only assess capital adequacy, asset quality, earnings and liquidity. Our study extends banking performance evaluation by including indicators which capture information relating to the bank’s business structure, off balance sheet items, derivative investments and credit risk. Our study analyzes banking failure in nine countries in Asia over the last decade. We discover that the Probit model and the Cox proportional hazard model produce very similar results in assessing the probability of a bank becoming inactive. All traditional indicators were shown to be influential factors but for the non-traditional indicators, only ratios for derivatives and credit risk were found to be significant. 2010 Dissertation (University of Nottingham only) NonPeerReviewed application/pdf en https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/24689/1/RaiyanAbdulRahim.pdf Abdul Rahim, Raiyan (2010) Predicting Bank Failures: Empirical Evidence from Asian Banks. [Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)] (Unpublished)
spellingShingle Abdul Rahim, Raiyan
Predicting Bank Failures: Empirical Evidence from Asian Banks
title Predicting Bank Failures: Empirical Evidence from Asian Banks
title_full Predicting Bank Failures: Empirical Evidence from Asian Banks
title_fullStr Predicting Bank Failures: Empirical Evidence from Asian Banks
title_full_unstemmed Predicting Bank Failures: Empirical Evidence from Asian Banks
title_short Predicting Bank Failures: Empirical Evidence from Asian Banks
title_sort predicting bank failures: empirical evidence from asian banks
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/24689/