A Study On The Market Efficiency of Chinese Stock Market

The main purpose of this dissertation is to test whether the Chinese stock market is weak-form efficient. To solve this problem, the Random Walk Theory is tested. To be more specific, the randomness of the Chinese stock market is tested in two different aspects: one aspect is the tests for unit root...

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Main Author: Qi, Yubing
Format: Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)
Language:English
Published: 2010
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/23898/
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author Qi, Yubing
author_facet Qi, Yubing
author_sort Qi, Yubing
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description The main purpose of this dissertation is to test whether the Chinese stock market is weak-form efficient. To solve this problem, the Random Walk Theory is tested. To be more specific, the randomness of the Chinese stock market is tested in two different aspects: one aspect is the tests for unit root, which are to detect the patterns of the trend in the time series; the other is tests for serial correlation, which are to detect the dependence of different observations in the time series. The unit root is tested by the Dickey-Fuller test, Augmented Dickey-Fuller test and Phillips-Perron test, on the other hand, the serial correlation is tested by the run test, Box-Pierce Q-statistic test and Ljung-Box Q*-statistic test. Moreover, the nonlinear dependence of the stock return series is also tested by the DBS test and the ARCH effects by the ARCH-LM test. The results of the tests indicate that the Chinese stock market does not follow the randomness; hence, the Chinese stock market is not weak-form efficient. Furthermore, the estimation of the GARCH (1, 1) model shows that the return series for the SSE and SZSE can be modelled by this model. Overall, the conclusion of this study is that the Chinese stock market is not weak-form efficient.
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spelling nottingham-238982018-01-31T17:14:13Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/23898/ A Study On The Market Efficiency of Chinese Stock Market Qi, Yubing The main purpose of this dissertation is to test whether the Chinese stock market is weak-form efficient. To solve this problem, the Random Walk Theory is tested. To be more specific, the randomness of the Chinese stock market is tested in two different aspects: one aspect is the tests for unit root, which are to detect the patterns of the trend in the time series; the other is tests for serial correlation, which are to detect the dependence of different observations in the time series. The unit root is tested by the Dickey-Fuller test, Augmented Dickey-Fuller test and Phillips-Perron test, on the other hand, the serial correlation is tested by the run test, Box-Pierce Q-statistic test and Ljung-Box Q*-statistic test. Moreover, the nonlinear dependence of the stock return series is also tested by the DBS test and the ARCH effects by the ARCH-LM test. The results of the tests indicate that the Chinese stock market does not follow the randomness; hence, the Chinese stock market is not weak-form efficient. Furthermore, the estimation of the GARCH (1, 1) model shows that the return series for the SSE and SZSE can be modelled by this model. Overall, the conclusion of this study is that the Chinese stock market is not weak-form efficient. 2010 Dissertation (University of Nottingham only) NonPeerReviewed application/pdf en https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/23898/1/A_STUDY_ON_THE_MARKET_EFFICIENCY_OF_CHINESE_STOCK_MARKET.pdf Qi, Yubing (2010) A Study On The Market Efficiency of Chinese Stock Market. [Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)] (Unpublished)
spellingShingle Qi, Yubing
A Study On The Market Efficiency of Chinese Stock Market
title A Study On The Market Efficiency of Chinese Stock Market
title_full A Study On The Market Efficiency of Chinese Stock Market
title_fullStr A Study On The Market Efficiency of Chinese Stock Market
title_full_unstemmed A Study On The Market Efficiency of Chinese Stock Market
title_short A Study On The Market Efficiency of Chinese Stock Market
title_sort study on the market efficiency of chinese stock market
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/23898/