A Real Options Approach, Pricing a Pharmaceutical R&D project using the Least Squares Monte Carlo Algorithm

This thesis implements the Least Squares Monte Carlo Approach to value a pharmaceutical R&D project. The main objective of this thesis is to identify the usefulness of the Least Squares Monte Carlo (LSM) Approach for the R&D investment valuation. Schwartz (2001) proposes a LSM algorithm in...

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Main Author: Dai, Kai
Format: Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)
Language:English
Published: 2007
Subjects:
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/21321/
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author Dai, Kai
author_facet Dai, Kai
author_sort Dai, Kai
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description This thesis implements the Least Squares Monte Carlo Approach to value a pharmaceutical R&D project. The main objective of this thesis is to identify the usefulness of the Least Squares Monte Carlo (LSM) Approach for the R&D investment valuation. Schwartz (2001) proposes a LSM algorithm in the article Patents and R&D as Real Options. This algorithm is implemented by using a program developed by MATLAB. Before this thesis, Navarro Hernandez (2003) has already attempted to implement Schwartzs algorithm by the MATLAB program. However, the implementation failed due to the misunderstanding of the LSM approach as well as the mistakes in programming. In order to implement the LSM successfully, this thesis proposes a simple numerical example to identify the algorithm of the LSM approach and puts a lot of efforts on programming the algorithm. Besides the implementation of the LSM approach, this thesis also provides a systematical review on the real option approach. The advantages of LSM approach for pharmaceutical R&D investment valuation are also explored. Finally, this thesis introduces the detailed pharmaceutical R&D process, so that it can be fully understood with little or no background knowledge of this industry.
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spelling nottingham-213212017-12-26T16:02:23Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/21321/ A Real Options Approach, Pricing a Pharmaceutical R&D project using the Least Squares Monte Carlo Algorithm Dai, Kai This thesis implements the Least Squares Monte Carlo Approach to value a pharmaceutical R&D project. The main objective of this thesis is to identify the usefulness of the Least Squares Monte Carlo (LSM) Approach for the R&D investment valuation. Schwartz (2001) proposes a LSM algorithm in the article Patents and R&D as Real Options. This algorithm is implemented by using a program developed by MATLAB. Before this thesis, Navarro Hernandez (2003) has already attempted to implement Schwartzs algorithm by the MATLAB program. However, the implementation failed due to the misunderstanding of the LSM approach as well as the mistakes in programming. In order to implement the LSM successfully, this thesis proposes a simple numerical example to identify the algorithm of the LSM approach and puts a lot of efforts on programming the algorithm. Besides the implementation of the LSM approach, this thesis also provides a systematical review on the real option approach. The advantages of LSM approach for pharmaceutical R&D investment valuation are also explored. Finally, this thesis introduces the detailed pharmaceutical R&D process, so that it can be fully understood with little or no background knowledge of this industry. 2007 Dissertation (University of Nottingham only) NonPeerReviewed application/pdf en https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/21321/1/MAlixkd3.pdf Dai, Kai (2007) A Real Options Approach, Pricing a Pharmaceutical R&D project using the Least Squares Monte Carlo Algorithm. [Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)] (Unpublished) Real Options Approach Least Squares Monte Carlo Algorithm MATLAB program Pharmaceutical R&D Investment
spellingShingle Real Options Approach
Least Squares Monte Carlo Algorithm
MATLAB program
Pharmaceutical R&D Investment
Dai, Kai
A Real Options Approach, Pricing a Pharmaceutical R&D project using the Least Squares Monte Carlo Algorithm
title A Real Options Approach, Pricing a Pharmaceutical R&D project using the Least Squares Monte Carlo Algorithm
title_full A Real Options Approach, Pricing a Pharmaceutical R&D project using the Least Squares Monte Carlo Algorithm
title_fullStr A Real Options Approach, Pricing a Pharmaceutical R&D project using the Least Squares Monte Carlo Algorithm
title_full_unstemmed A Real Options Approach, Pricing a Pharmaceutical R&D project using the Least Squares Monte Carlo Algorithm
title_short A Real Options Approach, Pricing a Pharmaceutical R&D project using the Least Squares Monte Carlo Algorithm
title_sort real options approach, pricing a pharmaceutical r&d project using the least squares monte carlo algorithm
topic Real Options Approach
Least Squares Monte Carlo Algorithm
MATLAB program
Pharmaceutical R&D Investment
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/21321/