Scenario analysis, decision trees and simulation for cost benefit analysis of the cargo screening process
In this paper we present our ideas for conducting a cost benefit analysis by using three different methods: scenario analysis, decision trees and simulation. Then we introduce our case study and examine these methods in a real world situation. We show how these tools can be used and what the result...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Other Authors: | |
| Format: | Book Section |
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COPPE/UFRJ
2010
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| Online Access: | https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/1459/ |
| _version_ | 1848790611019169792 |
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| author | Sherman, Galina Siebers, Peer-Olaf Aickelin, Uwe Menachof, David |
| author2 | Bruzzone, Agostino G. |
| author_facet | Bruzzone, Agostino G. Sherman, Galina Siebers, Peer-Olaf Aickelin, Uwe Menachof, David |
| author_sort | Sherman, Galina |
| building | Nottingham Research Data Repository |
| collection | Online Access |
| description | In this paper we present our ideas for conducting a cost
benefit analysis by using three different methods: scenario analysis, decision trees and simulation. Then we introduce our case study and examine these methods in a real world situation. We show how these tools can be used and what the results are for each of them. Our aim is to conduct a comparison of these different probabilistic methods of estimating costs for port security risk assessment studies. Methodologically, we are trying to understand the limits of all the tools mentioned above by focusing on rare events. |
| first_indexed | 2025-11-14T18:15:22Z |
| format | Book Section |
| id | nottingham-1459 |
| institution | University of Nottingham Malaysia Campus |
| institution_category | Local University |
| last_indexed | 2025-11-14T18:15:22Z |
| publishDate | 2010 |
| publisher | COPPE/UFRJ |
| recordtype | eprints |
| repository_type | Digital Repository |
| spelling | nottingham-14592020-05-04T20:25:51Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/1459/ Scenario analysis, decision trees and simulation for cost benefit analysis of the cargo screening process Sherman, Galina Siebers, Peer-Olaf Aickelin, Uwe Menachof, David In this paper we present our ideas for conducting a cost benefit analysis by using three different methods: scenario analysis, decision trees and simulation. Then we introduce our case study and examine these methods in a real world situation. We show how these tools can be used and what the results are for each of them. Our aim is to conduct a comparison of these different probabilistic methods of estimating costs for port security risk assessment studies. Methodologically, we are trying to understand the limits of all the tools mentioned above by focusing on rare events. COPPE/UFRJ Bruzzone, Agostino G. Landau, Luiz Cunha, Gerson Gomes Saetta, Stefano 2010 Book Section PeerReviewed Sherman, Galina, Siebers, Peer-Olaf, Aickelin, Uwe and Menachof, David (2010) Scenario analysis, decision trees and simulation for cost benefit analysis of the cargo screening process. In: The International Workshop on Applied Modelling and Simulation: WAMS, Buizos, 2010. COPPE/UFRJ, Rio de Janeiro, pp. 287-295. ISBN 9788528501353 http://evento.lamce.coppe.ufrj.br/wams.2010/proceedings.html |
| spellingShingle | Sherman, Galina Siebers, Peer-Olaf Aickelin, Uwe Menachof, David Scenario analysis, decision trees and simulation for cost benefit analysis of the cargo screening process |
| title | Scenario analysis, decision trees and simulation for cost benefit analysis of the cargo screening process |
| title_full | Scenario analysis, decision trees and simulation for cost benefit analysis of the cargo screening process |
| title_fullStr | Scenario analysis, decision trees and simulation for cost benefit analysis of the cargo screening process |
| title_full_unstemmed | Scenario analysis, decision trees and simulation for cost benefit analysis of the cargo screening process |
| title_short | Scenario analysis, decision trees and simulation for cost benefit analysis of the cargo screening process |
| title_sort | scenario analysis, decision trees and simulation for cost benefit analysis of the cargo screening process |
| url | https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/1459/ https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/1459/ |