The multidimensional impacts of external price shocks on macroeconomic variables: Malaysian experiences from recession to economic instability

The 2008 to 2009 global external price shocks on foods and oil exert worldwide impacts on production, expenditure pattern, trade, welfare, internal resource allocation and ultimate impacts diverted to global recession, Malaysia is not an exception. Centering the world's (2008 to 2009) oil and f...

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Main Authors: Jaafar, , AH, Yeasmin,, M, Kari,, F, Mazumder, , MNH, Azam, , MN, Al-Amin, , AQ
Format: Article
Published: 2011
Subjects:
Online Access:http://shdl.mmu.edu.my/3343/
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author Jaafar, , AH
Yeasmin,, M
Kari,, F
Mazumder, , MNH
Azam, , MN
Al-Amin, , AQ
author_facet Jaafar, , AH
Yeasmin,, M
Kari,, F
Mazumder, , MNH
Azam, , MN
Al-Amin, , AQ
author_sort Jaafar, , AH
building MMU Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description The 2008 to 2009 global external price shocks on foods and oil exert worldwide impacts on production, expenditure pattern, trade, welfare, internal resource allocation and ultimate impacts diverted to global recession, Malaysia is not an exception. Centering the world's (2008 to 2009) oil and food price catastrophe, here we investigate Malaysian experiences from recession to economic instability. An applied computable general equilibrium model is utilized in our study to simulate the Malaysian economic impacts by three scenarios. First is food import price increase by 20% (Scenario 1), second is the oil price catastrophe by 40% (Scenario 2) and finally a scenario that combines Scenarios 1 and 2 simultaneously (Scenario 3). Our results depict the multidimensional impacts on major macroeconomic indicators from recession to economic instability. Our results indicate that, price catastrophe either in Scenario 1 or 2, or in Scenario 3, depress overall Malaysian domestic outputs and exports. Reduced output also reduces employment, thus causing a fall in household's income. Overall imports also decreased by 0.2, 1.5, and 1.7% respectively, in all scenarios that specify consumers can afford less quantity of both domestic and imported goods; is the clear indication of recession and economic instability. Our study can be a message to policy makers, who are considering recession and trade policy together.
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spelling mmu-33432012-01-09T04:00:32Z http://shdl.mmu.edu.my/3343/ The multidimensional impacts of external price shocks on macroeconomic variables: Malaysian experiences from recession to economic instability Jaafar, , AH Yeasmin,, M Kari,, F Mazumder, , MNH Azam, , MN Al-Amin, , AQ HD28-70 Management. Industrial Management The 2008 to 2009 global external price shocks on foods and oil exert worldwide impacts on production, expenditure pattern, trade, welfare, internal resource allocation and ultimate impacts diverted to global recession, Malaysia is not an exception. Centering the world's (2008 to 2009) oil and food price catastrophe, here we investigate Malaysian experiences from recession to economic instability. An applied computable general equilibrium model is utilized in our study to simulate the Malaysian economic impacts by three scenarios. First is food import price increase by 20% (Scenario 1), second is the oil price catastrophe by 40% (Scenario 2) and finally a scenario that combines Scenarios 1 and 2 simultaneously (Scenario 3). Our results depict the multidimensional impacts on major macroeconomic indicators from recession to economic instability. Our results indicate that, price catastrophe either in Scenario 1 or 2, or in Scenario 3, depress overall Malaysian domestic outputs and exports. Reduced output also reduces employment, thus causing a fall in household's income. Overall imports also decreased by 0.2, 1.5, and 1.7% respectively, in all scenarios that specify consumers can afford less quantity of both domestic and imported goods; is the clear indication of recession and economic instability. Our study can be a message to policy makers, who are considering recession and trade policy together. 2011-09-16 Article PeerReviewed Jaafar, , AH and Yeasmin,, M and Kari,, F and Mazumder, , MNH and Azam, , MN and Al-Amin, , AQ (2011) The multidimensional impacts of external price shocks on macroeconomic variables: Malaysian experiences from recession to economic instability. AFRICAN JOURNAL OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT, 5 (20). pp. 8057-8068. ISSN 1993-8233
spellingShingle HD28-70 Management. Industrial Management
Jaafar, , AH
Yeasmin,, M
Kari,, F
Mazumder, , MNH
Azam, , MN
Al-Amin, , AQ
The multidimensional impacts of external price shocks on macroeconomic variables: Malaysian experiences from recession to economic instability
title The multidimensional impacts of external price shocks on macroeconomic variables: Malaysian experiences from recession to economic instability
title_full The multidimensional impacts of external price shocks on macroeconomic variables: Malaysian experiences from recession to economic instability
title_fullStr The multidimensional impacts of external price shocks on macroeconomic variables: Malaysian experiences from recession to economic instability
title_full_unstemmed The multidimensional impacts of external price shocks on macroeconomic variables: Malaysian experiences from recession to economic instability
title_short The multidimensional impacts of external price shocks on macroeconomic variables: Malaysian experiences from recession to economic instability
title_sort multidimensional impacts of external price shocks on macroeconomic variables: malaysian experiences from recession to economic instability
topic HD28-70 Management. Industrial Management
url http://shdl.mmu.edu.my/3343/