Corporate Financial Distress Prediction in China – A Robustness Testing of ZCHINA-Score Model

Prior to 1990s, the application of financial distress prediction for companies in China is rather limited. Later in post 1990s, the popularity of Z-Score Model soared as a movement was initiated among Chinese researchers to adapt and to apply Altman Z-score model towards local Chinese companies. Poo...

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Main Author: Chen, Xiao
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: 2014
Subjects:
Online Access:http://eprints.intimal.edu.my/812/
http://eprints.intimal.edu.my/812/1/141.pdf
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author Chen, Xiao
author_facet Chen, Xiao
author_sort Chen, Xiao
building INTI Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description Prior to 1990s, the application of financial distress prediction for companies in China is rather limited. Later in post 1990s, the popularity of Z-Score Model soared as a movement was initiated among Chinese researchers to adapt and to apply Altman Z-score model towards local Chinese companies. Poor prediction result experienced by the initial movement has prompted the original author of Altman z-score model, Edward I. Altman to team up with two Chinese scholars (Zhang and Yen, 2010) to develop an entirely new financial distress prediction model, known as the Zchina-Score Model, specifically for China’s companies. This study is to investigate the robustness of Zchina-Score Model towards current financial data as well as its robustness towards financial data from different industries. The empirical results of this study concludes that generally the Zchina-score model is a robust model for business stakeholders to refer to when making business decision. However, the prediction accuracy varies in different industries, which business stakeholders should be aware of when using this model. The result also implies that the Zchina-score model should be modified for each homogenous industry to achieve better prediction accuracy.
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spelling intimal-8122017-06-08T03:26:00Z http://eprints.intimal.edu.my/812/ Corporate Financial Distress Prediction in China – A Robustness Testing of ZCHINA-Score Model Chen, Xiao HD28 Management. Industrial Management Prior to 1990s, the application of financial distress prediction for companies in China is rather limited. Later in post 1990s, the popularity of Z-Score Model soared as a movement was initiated among Chinese researchers to adapt and to apply Altman Z-score model towards local Chinese companies. Poor prediction result experienced by the initial movement has prompted the original author of Altman z-score model, Edward I. Altman to team up with two Chinese scholars (Zhang and Yen, 2010) to develop an entirely new financial distress prediction model, known as the Zchina-Score Model, specifically for China’s companies. This study is to investigate the robustness of Zchina-Score Model towards current financial data as well as its robustness towards financial data from different industries. The empirical results of this study concludes that generally the Zchina-score model is a robust model for business stakeholders to refer to when making business decision. However, the prediction accuracy varies in different industries, which business stakeholders should be aware of when using this model. The result also implies that the Zchina-score model should be modified for each homogenous industry to achieve better prediction accuracy. 2014 Thesis NonPeerReviewed text en http://eprints.intimal.edu.my/812/1/141.pdf Chen, Xiao (2014) Corporate Financial Distress Prediction in China – A Robustness Testing of ZCHINA-Score Model. Masters thesis, INTI International University.
spellingShingle HD28 Management. Industrial Management
Chen, Xiao
Corporate Financial Distress Prediction in China – A Robustness Testing of ZCHINA-Score Model
title Corporate Financial Distress Prediction in China – A Robustness Testing of ZCHINA-Score Model
title_full Corporate Financial Distress Prediction in China – A Robustness Testing of ZCHINA-Score Model
title_fullStr Corporate Financial Distress Prediction in China – A Robustness Testing of ZCHINA-Score Model
title_full_unstemmed Corporate Financial Distress Prediction in China – A Robustness Testing of ZCHINA-Score Model
title_short Corporate Financial Distress Prediction in China – A Robustness Testing of ZCHINA-Score Model
title_sort corporate financial distress prediction in china – a robustness testing of zchina-score model
topic HD28 Management. Industrial Management
url http://eprints.intimal.edu.my/812/
http://eprints.intimal.edu.my/812/1/141.pdf