Rainfall Prediction in Palembang City Using the GRU and LSTM Methods

Rainfall is one of the weather elements that are very important for the survival of an area. Palembang City, as one of the big cities in Indonesia, is heavily influenced by the level of rainfall that occurs every month. Variations in precipitation can affect various aspects of people's lives,...

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Main Authors: Surta, Wijaya, Tri Basuki, Kurniawan, Edi Surya, Negara, Yesi Novaria, Kunang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: INTI International University 2023
Subjects:
Online Access:http://eprints.intimal.edu.my/1730/
http://eprints.intimal.edu.my/1730/1/jods2023_04.pdf
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author Surta, Wijaya
Tri Basuki, Kurniawan
Edi Surya, Negara
Yesi Novaria, Kunang
author_facet Surta, Wijaya
Tri Basuki, Kurniawan
Edi Surya, Negara
Yesi Novaria, Kunang
author_sort Surta, Wijaya
building INTI Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description Rainfall is one of the weather elements that are very important for the survival of an area. Palembang City, as one of the big cities in Indonesia, is heavily influenced by the level of rainfall that occurs every month. Variations in precipitation can affect various aspects of people's lives, such as agriculture, industry, tourism, etc. Accurate rainfall predictions can assist in preparing for multiple activities and making the right decisions. Therefore, it is crucial to research predicting rainfall in Palembang. It is expected to simplify the prediction process and produce more accurate results. This research uses the Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) and Long-Shorted Term Memory (LSTM) methods to make daily rainfall predictions for the next month using weather element data for ten (10) years in Palembang, utilizing the deep learning method. The hyperparameter model tuning experiment was conducted to obtain the best prediction results. From the research results, it can be concluded that the LSTM model is overall better than the GRU model in predicting daily rainfall in Palembang City. GRU has RMSE 9.33 and R2 0.54, while the LSTM Model has RMSE 7.45 and R2 0.70.
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spelling intimal-17302023-07-13T08:33:36Z http://eprints.intimal.edu.my/1730/ Rainfall Prediction in Palembang City Using the GRU and LSTM Methods Surta, Wijaya Tri Basuki, Kurniawan Edi Surya, Negara Yesi Novaria, Kunang QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science QA76 Computer software Rainfall is one of the weather elements that are very important for the survival of an area. Palembang City, as one of the big cities in Indonesia, is heavily influenced by the level of rainfall that occurs every month. Variations in precipitation can affect various aspects of people's lives, such as agriculture, industry, tourism, etc. Accurate rainfall predictions can assist in preparing for multiple activities and making the right decisions. Therefore, it is crucial to research predicting rainfall in Palembang. It is expected to simplify the prediction process and produce more accurate results. This research uses the Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) and Long-Shorted Term Memory (LSTM) methods to make daily rainfall predictions for the next month using weather element data for ten (10) years in Palembang, utilizing the deep learning method. The hyperparameter model tuning experiment was conducted to obtain the best prediction results. From the research results, it can be concluded that the LSTM model is overall better than the GRU model in predicting daily rainfall in Palembang City. GRU has RMSE 9.33 and R2 0.54, while the LSTM Model has RMSE 7.45 and R2 0.70. INTI International University 2023-03-23 Article PeerReviewed text en cc_by_4 http://eprints.intimal.edu.my/1730/1/jods2023_04.pdf Surta, Wijaya and Tri Basuki, Kurniawan and Edi Surya, Negara and Yesi Novaria, Kunang (2023) Rainfall Prediction in Palembang City Using the GRU and LSTM Methods. Journal of Data Science, 2023 (04). pp. 1-13. ISSN 2805-5160 http://ipublishing.intimal.edu.my/jods.html
spellingShingle QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science
QA76 Computer software
Surta, Wijaya
Tri Basuki, Kurniawan
Edi Surya, Negara
Yesi Novaria, Kunang
Rainfall Prediction in Palembang City Using the GRU and LSTM Methods
title Rainfall Prediction in Palembang City Using the GRU and LSTM Methods
title_full Rainfall Prediction in Palembang City Using the GRU and LSTM Methods
title_fullStr Rainfall Prediction in Palembang City Using the GRU and LSTM Methods
title_full_unstemmed Rainfall Prediction in Palembang City Using the GRU and LSTM Methods
title_short Rainfall Prediction in Palembang City Using the GRU and LSTM Methods
title_sort rainfall prediction in palembang city using the gru and lstm methods
topic QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science
QA76 Computer software
url http://eprints.intimal.edu.my/1730/
http://eprints.intimal.edu.my/1730/
http://eprints.intimal.edu.my/1730/1/jods2023_04.pdf