Wavelet-ANN versus ANN-based model for hydrometeorological drought forecasting

Malaysia is one of the countries that has been experiencing droughts caused by a warming climate. This study considered the Standard Index of Annual Precipitation (SIAP) and Standardized Water Storage Index (SWSI) to represent meteorological and hydrological drought, respectively. The study area...

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Main Authors: Munir, H. K., Muhammad, Nur Shazwani, Al-Shafie, Ahmed
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:http://eprints.intimal.edu.my/1180/
http://eprints.intimal.edu.my/1180/1/water-10-00998%20Munir.pdf
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author Munir, H. K.
Muhammad, Nur Shazwani
Al-Shafie, Ahmed
author_facet Munir, H. K.
Muhammad, Nur Shazwani
Al-Shafie, Ahmed
author_sort Munir, H. K.
building INTI Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description Malaysia is one of the countries that has been experiencing droughts caused by a warming climate. This study considered the Standard Index of Annual Precipitation (SIAP) and Standardized Water Storage Index (SWSI) to represent meteorological and hydrological drought, respectively. The study area is the Langat River Basin, located in the central part of peninsular Malaysia. The analysis was done using rainfall and water level data over 30 years, from 1986 to 2016. Both of the indices were calculated in monthly scale, and two neural network-based models and two wavelet-based artificial neural network (W-ANN) models were developed for monthly droughts. The performance of the SIAP and SWSI models, in terms of the correlation coefficient (R), was 0.899 and 0.968, respectively. The application of a wavelet for preprocessing the raw data in the developed W-ANN models achieved higher correlation coefficients for most of the scenarios. This proves that the created model can predict meteorological and hydrological droughts very close to the observed values. Overall, this study helps us to understand the history of drought conditions over the past 30 years in the Langat River Basin. It further helps us to forecast drought and to assist in water resource management.
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spelling intimal-11802018-10-18T09:30:42Z http://eprints.intimal.edu.my/1180/ Wavelet-ANN versus ANN-based model for hydrometeorological drought forecasting Munir, H. K. Muhammad, Nur Shazwani Al-Shafie, Ahmed T Technology (General) Malaysia is one of the countries that has been experiencing droughts caused by a warming climate. This study considered the Standard Index of Annual Precipitation (SIAP) and Standardized Water Storage Index (SWSI) to represent meteorological and hydrological drought, respectively. The study area is the Langat River Basin, located in the central part of peninsular Malaysia. The analysis was done using rainfall and water level data over 30 years, from 1986 to 2016. Both of the indices were calculated in monthly scale, and two neural network-based models and two wavelet-based artificial neural network (W-ANN) models were developed for monthly droughts. The performance of the SIAP and SWSI models, in terms of the correlation coefficient (R), was 0.899 and 0.968, respectively. The application of a wavelet for preprocessing the raw data in the developed W-ANN models achieved higher correlation coefficients for most of the scenarios. This proves that the created model can predict meteorological and hydrological droughts very close to the observed values. Overall, this study helps us to understand the history of drought conditions over the past 30 years in the Langat River Basin. It further helps us to forecast drought and to assist in water resource management. 2018-10-01 Article PeerReviewed text en http://eprints.intimal.edu.my/1180/1/water-10-00998%20Munir.pdf Munir, H. K. and Muhammad, Nur Shazwani and Al-Shafie, Ahmed (2018) Wavelet-ANN versus ANN-based model for hydrometeorological drought forecasting. Water, 10 (998). pp. 1-21.
spellingShingle T Technology (General)
Munir, H. K.
Muhammad, Nur Shazwani
Al-Shafie, Ahmed
Wavelet-ANN versus ANN-based model for hydrometeorological drought forecasting
title Wavelet-ANN versus ANN-based model for hydrometeorological drought forecasting
title_full Wavelet-ANN versus ANN-based model for hydrometeorological drought forecasting
title_fullStr Wavelet-ANN versus ANN-based model for hydrometeorological drought forecasting
title_full_unstemmed Wavelet-ANN versus ANN-based model for hydrometeorological drought forecasting
title_short Wavelet-ANN versus ANN-based model for hydrometeorological drought forecasting
title_sort wavelet-ann versus ann-based model for hydrometeorological drought forecasting
topic T Technology (General)
url http://eprints.intimal.edu.my/1180/
http://eprints.intimal.edu.my/1180/1/water-10-00998%20Munir.pdf