The effects of crude oil price volatility, stock price, exchange rate and interest rate on Malaysia’s economic growth

This study examines the effects and relationships between Malaysia’s economic growth and selected variables which are oil price volatility, stock price, real exchange rate and real interest rate. Using time-series data methodology, the study employs unit root test using Augmented Dickey–Fuller (ADF...

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Main Authors: Rahim, Farah, Hamid, Zarinah
Format: Proceeding Paper
Language:English
English
Published: Springer 2020
Subjects:
Online Access:http://irep.iium.edu.my/80144/
http://irep.iium.edu.my/80144/1/80144_The%20Effects%20of%20Crude%20Oil%20Price%20Volatility.pdf
http://irep.iium.edu.my/80144/2/80144_The%20Effects%20of%20Crude%20Oil%20Price%20Volatility_Cover.pdf
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author Rahim, Farah
Hamid, Zarinah
author_facet Rahim, Farah
Hamid, Zarinah
author_sort Rahim, Farah
building IIUM Repository
collection Online Access
description This study examines the effects and relationships between Malaysia’s economic growth and selected variables which are oil price volatility, stock price, real exchange rate and real interest rate. Using time-series data methodology, the study employs unit root test using Augmented Dickey–Fuller (ADF) and Phillips–Perron (PP), Auto-Regressive Distribution Lag (ARDL) model supplemented by Bounds F-Testing, Johansen-Julius Co-integration test and Granger causality test. The long�run equation derived from ARDL shows that there are positive relationships for stock price and real exchange rate whilst there are negative relationships between oil price volatility and real interest rate. Furthermore, Granger causality test shows that only stock price and real interest rates have an impact on Malaysia’s gross domestic product (GDP) in the short run. Finally, sound policy recommendations are suggested, in particular, to address oil price volatility in a forward looking manner as well as monetary-friendly measures to further support Malaysia’s economic growth.
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format Proceeding Paper
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institution International Islamic University Malaysia
institution_category Local University
language English
English
last_indexed 2025-11-14T17:48:18Z
publishDate 2020
publisher Springer
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spelling iium-801442020-07-10T07:24:48Z http://irep.iium.edu.my/80144/ The effects of crude oil price volatility, stock price, exchange rate and interest rate on Malaysia’s economic growth Rahim, Farah Hamid, Zarinah HB Economic Theory HB131 Methodology.Mathematical economics. Quantitative methods HB3711 Business cycles. Economic fluctuations HG Finance HG4001 Financial management. Business finance. Corporation finance. This study examines the effects and relationships between Malaysia’s economic growth and selected variables which are oil price volatility, stock price, real exchange rate and real interest rate. Using time-series data methodology, the study employs unit root test using Augmented Dickey–Fuller (ADF) and Phillips–Perron (PP), Auto-Regressive Distribution Lag (ARDL) model supplemented by Bounds F-Testing, Johansen-Julius Co-integration test and Granger causality test. The long�run equation derived from ARDL shows that there are positive relationships for stock price and real exchange rate whilst there are negative relationships between oil price volatility and real interest rate. Furthermore, Granger causality test shows that only stock price and real interest rates have an impact on Malaysia’s gross domestic product (GDP) in the short run. Finally, sound policy recommendations are suggested, in particular, to address oil price volatility in a forward looking manner as well as monetary-friendly measures to further support Malaysia’s economic growth. Springer 2020 Proceeding Paper PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://irep.iium.edu.my/80144/1/80144_The%20Effects%20of%20Crude%20Oil%20Price%20Volatility.pdf application/pdf en http://irep.iium.edu.my/80144/2/80144_The%20Effects%20of%20Crude%20Oil%20Price%20Volatility_Cover.pdf Rahim, Farah and Hamid, Zarinah (2020) The effects of crude oil price volatility, stock price, exchange rate and interest rate on Malaysia’s economic growth. In: 2019 International Conference on Applied Economics (ICOAE 2019), 4 - 6 July 2019, Milan, Italy. https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-030-38253-7_48 https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-38253-7_48
spellingShingle HB Economic Theory
HB131 Methodology.Mathematical economics. Quantitative methods
HB3711 Business cycles. Economic fluctuations
HG Finance
HG4001 Financial management. Business finance. Corporation finance.
Rahim, Farah
Hamid, Zarinah
The effects of crude oil price volatility, stock price, exchange rate and interest rate on Malaysia’s economic growth
title The effects of crude oil price volatility, stock price, exchange rate and interest rate on Malaysia’s economic growth
title_full The effects of crude oil price volatility, stock price, exchange rate and interest rate on Malaysia’s economic growth
title_fullStr The effects of crude oil price volatility, stock price, exchange rate and interest rate on Malaysia’s economic growth
title_full_unstemmed The effects of crude oil price volatility, stock price, exchange rate and interest rate on Malaysia’s economic growth
title_short The effects of crude oil price volatility, stock price, exchange rate and interest rate on Malaysia’s economic growth
title_sort effects of crude oil price volatility, stock price, exchange rate and interest rate on malaysia’s economic growth
topic HB Economic Theory
HB131 Methodology.Mathematical economics. Quantitative methods
HB3711 Business cycles. Economic fluctuations
HG Finance
HG4001 Financial management. Business finance. Corporation finance.
url http://irep.iium.edu.my/80144/
http://irep.iium.edu.my/80144/
http://irep.iium.edu.my/80144/
http://irep.iium.edu.my/80144/1/80144_The%20Effects%20of%20Crude%20Oil%20Price%20Volatility.pdf
http://irep.iium.edu.my/80144/2/80144_The%20Effects%20of%20Crude%20Oil%20Price%20Volatility_Cover.pdf