The analytic hierarchy process: application to the election of the Chief Minister of Perak, Malaysia 2013

For the last two-three decades in an attempt to predict most likely outcomes of public elections different methods and techniques have been developed and employed by social scientists to produce empirical evidence of a predictive power. This study is focusing on application of analytic hierarchy pro...

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Main Authors: Peredaryenko, Margarita Sergeevna, Mohamed Ariff, Rais Hussin
Format: Proceeding Paper
Language:English
Published: International Symposium on the Analytic Hierarchy Process (ISAHP) 2013
Subjects:
Online Access:http://irep.iium.edu.my/73465/
http://irep.iium.edu.my/73465/7/73465%20THE%20ANALYTIC%20HIERARCHY%20PROCESS.pdf
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author Peredaryenko, Margarita Sergeevna
Mohamed Ariff, Rais Hussin
author_facet Peredaryenko, Margarita Sergeevna
Mohamed Ariff, Rais Hussin
author_sort Peredaryenko, Margarita Sergeevna
building IIUM Repository
collection Online Access
description For the last two-three decades in an attempt to predict most likely outcomes of public elections different methods and techniques have been developed and employed by social scientists to produce empirical evidence of a predictive power. This study is focusing on application of analytic hierarchy process (AHP) as a tool to forecast most likely winning candidate in the forthcoming election of the Chief Minister of Perak, Malaysia, in the year 2012. Two candidates, Dato Seri Diraja Dr. Zambry Abd Kadir Zambry and Dato Seri Ir’ Mohammad Nizar Jamaluddin, were compared vis-à-vis using AHP technique against seven sub criteria, such as charisma, humility, integrity, party, nation-building, people engagement, leadership and experience. AHP questionnaires were distributed in Ipon, state of Perak, Malaysia. There were 30 respondents selected randomly. According to the overall results, Dr. Zambry is projected to be the favored candidate for the post of Chief Minister of Perak in the forthcoming election with 59.57 per cent of winning votes over his counterparty Nizar. However, differences existed in voting between the three races representing population of Malaysians. Although Malays and Indians have shown the unanimous support to Dr. Zambry with the voting scores of 66.98 per cent and 69.55 per cent respectively, Chinese have given their preference to Nizar (60.12 per cent over Zambry).
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format Proceeding Paper
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language English
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spelling iium-734652019-07-26T02:48:38Z http://irep.iium.edu.my/73465/ The analytic hierarchy process: application to the election of the Chief Minister of Perak, Malaysia 2013 Peredaryenko, Margarita Sergeevna Mohamed Ariff, Rais Hussin HA29 Theory and method of social science statistics JA Political science (General) For the last two-three decades in an attempt to predict most likely outcomes of public elections different methods and techniques have been developed and employed by social scientists to produce empirical evidence of a predictive power. This study is focusing on application of analytic hierarchy process (AHP) as a tool to forecast most likely winning candidate in the forthcoming election of the Chief Minister of Perak, Malaysia, in the year 2012. Two candidates, Dato Seri Diraja Dr. Zambry Abd Kadir Zambry and Dato Seri Ir’ Mohammad Nizar Jamaluddin, were compared vis-à-vis using AHP technique against seven sub criteria, such as charisma, humility, integrity, party, nation-building, people engagement, leadership and experience. AHP questionnaires were distributed in Ipon, state of Perak, Malaysia. There were 30 respondents selected randomly. According to the overall results, Dr. Zambry is projected to be the favored candidate for the post of Chief Minister of Perak in the forthcoming election with 59.57 per cent of winning votes over his counterparty Nizar. However, differences existed in voting between the three races representing population of Malaysians. Although Malays and Indians have shown the unanimous support to Dr. Zambry with the voting scores of 66.98 per cent and 69.55 per cent respectively, Chinese have given their preference to Nizar (60.12 per cent over Zambry). International Symposium on the Analytic Hierarchy Process (ISAHP) 2013 Proceeding Paper PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://irep.iium.edu.my/73465/7/73465%20THE%20ANALYTIC%20HIERARCHY%20PROCESS.pdf Peredaryenko, Margarita Sergeevna and Mohamed Ariff, Rais Hussin (2013) The analytic hierarchy process: application to the election of the Chief Minister of Perak, Malaysia 2013. In: 12th International Symposium on the Analytic Hierarchy Process for Multicriteria Decision Making, Kuala Lumpur. http://www.isahp.org/uploads/34.pdf
spellingShingle HA29 Theory and method of social science statistics
JA Political science (General)
Peredaryenko, Margarita Sergeevna
Mohamed Ariff, Rais Hussin
The analytic hierarchy process: application to the election of the Chief Minister of Perak, Malaysia 2013
title The analytic hierarchy process: application to the election of the Chief Minister of Perak, Malaysia 2013
title_full The analytic hierarchy process: application to the election of the Chief Minister of Perak, Malaysia 2013
title_fullStr The analytic hierarchy process: application to the election of the Chief Minister of Perak, Malaysia 2013
title_full_unstemmed The analytic hierarchy process: application to the election of the Chief Minister of Perak, Malaysia 2013
title_short The analytic hierarchy process: application to the election of the Chief Minister of Perak, Malaysia 2013
title_sort analytic hierarchy process: application to the election of the chief minister of perak, malaysia 2013
topic HA29 Theory and method of social science statistics
JA Political science (General)
url http://irep.iium.edu.my/73465/
http://irep.iium.edu.my/73465/
http://irep.iium.edu.my/73465/7/73465%20THE%20ANALYTIC%20HIERARCHY%20PROCESS.pdf