Hedging performance of futures contracts: The case of FTSE BMKLCI futures and the CPO futures contracts in Malaysia

This study aims to investigate the hedging performance of two derivative instruments traded in Bursa Malaysia Derivative Exchange. They are Kuala Lumpur composite index (KLCI) futures contracts and the crude palm oil (CPO) futures contracts covering the period from January 4, 2010 to October 31, 201...

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Main Authors: Islam, Mohd Aminul, Pah, Chin Hee
Format: Monograph
Language:English
Published: 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:http://irep.iium.edu.my/62882/
http://irep.iium.edu.my/62882/1/END%20OF%20PROJECT%20REPORT_FULL%20VERSION.pdf
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author Islam, Mohd Aminul
Pah, Chin Hee
author_facet Islam, Mohd Aminul
Pah, Chin Hee
author_sort Islam, Mohd Aminul
building IIUM Repository
collection Online Access
description This study aims to investigate the hedging performance of two derivative instruments traded in Bursa Malaysia Derivative Exchange. They are Kuala Lumpur composite index (KLCI) futures contracts and the crude palm oil (CPO) futures contracts covering the period from January 4, 2010 to October 31, 2016. Four different competing econometric models comprising of the conventional ordinary least squares (OLS) model, vector autoregression (VAR) model, vector error correction mechanism (VECM) and the multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (MGARCH) models are employed to estimate and measure optimal hedge ratios and their hedging performances. The empirical results show that the MGARCH model performs better in the reduction of risk for the case of CPO futures contracts, while VECM performs better in managing equity risk for the case of KLCI futures contracts. In both cases, more than 70% of the risks are found eliminated which indicate a good level of hedging effectiveness of the two derivative instruments. However, CPO futures contracts perform slightly better than the KLCI futures contracts. This suggests that the potential traders and the investors can use these two derivative products as effective instruments in managing the risk that may arise due to unfavorable movement in the market prices. Both VECM and MGARCH models can be used efficient models in designing hedging strategy.
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format Monograph
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institution International Islamic University Malaysia
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language English
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publishDate 2018
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spelling iium-628822020-12-01T08:06:50Z http://irep.iium.edu.my/62882/ Hedging performance of futures contracts: The case of FTSE BMKLCI futures and the CPO futures contracts in Malaysia Islam, Mohd Aminul Pah, Chin Hee HG4501 Stocks, investment, speculation This study aims to investigate the hedging performance of two derivative instruments traded in Bursa Malaysia Derivative Exchange. They are Kuala Lumpur composite index (KLCI) futures contracts and the crude palm oil (CPO) futures contracts covering the period from January 4, 2010 to October 31, 2016. Four different competing econometric models comprising of the conventional ordinary least squares (OLS) model, vector autoregression (VAR) model, vector error correction mechanism (VECM) and the multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (MGARCH) models are employed to estimate and measure optimal hedge ratios and their hedging performances. The empirical results show that the MGARCH model performs better in the reduction of risk for the case of CPO futures contracts, while VECM performs better in managing equity risk for the case of KLCI futures contracts. In both cases, more than 70% of the risks are found eliminated which indicate a good level of hedging effectiveness of the two derivative instruments. However, CPO futures contracts perform slightly better than the KLCI futures contracts. This suggests that the potential traders and the investors can use these two derivative products as effective instruments in managing the risk that may arise due to unfavorable movement in the market prices. Both VECM and MGARCH models can be used efficient models in designing hedging strategy. 2018-03 Monograph NonPeerReviewed application/pdf en http://irep.iium.edu.my/62882/1/END%20OF%20PROJECT%20REPORT_FULL%20VERSION.pdf Islam, Mohd Aminul and Pah, Chin Hee (2018) Hedging performance of futures contracts: The case of FTSE BMKLCI futures and the CPO futures contracts in Malaysia. Research Report. UNSPECIFIED. (Unpublished)
spellingShingle HG4501 Stocks, investment, speculation
Islam, Mohd Aminul
Pah, Chin Hee
Hedging performance of futures contracts: The case of FTSE BMKLCI futures and the CPO futures contracts in Malaysia
title Hedging performance of futures contracts: The case of FTSE BMKLCI futures and the CPO futures contracts in Malaysia
title_full Hedging performance of futures contracts: The case of FTSE BMKLCI futures and the CPO futures contracts in Malaysia
title_fullStr Hedging performance of futures contracts: The case of FTSE BMKLCI futures and the CPO futures contracts in Malaysia
title_full_unstemmed Hedging performance of futures contracts: The case of FTSE BMKLCI futures and the CPO futures contracts in Malaysia
title_short Hedging performance of futures contracts: The case of FTSE BMKLCI futures and the CPO futures contracts in Malaysia
title_sort hedging performance of futures contracts: the case of ftse bmklci futures and the cpo futures contracts in malaysia
topic HG4501 Stocks, investment, speculation
url http://irep.iium.edu.my/62882/
http://irep.iium.edu.my/62882/1/END%20OF%20PROJECT%20REPORT_FULL%20VERSION.pdf