Identifying key drivers of food price inflation in Malaysia

In Malaysia, food price inflation reached its highest level at 8.8% in mid-2008 compared to overall inflation of 5.5% for the same period, mainly blamed on the spike in world commodity prices. However, recent moves by the government to rationalize food and energy subsidies have also led to higher th...

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Main Authors: Norazman, Umi Zakiah, Khalid, Haniza, Mat Ghani, Gairuzazmi
Format: Proceeding Paper
Language:English
Published: 2016
Subjects:
Online Access:http://irep.iium.edu.my/51485/
http://irep.iium.edu.my/51485/1/51485_Identifying_key_drivers_of_food_price_inflation_in_Malaysia.pdf
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author Norazman, Umi Zakiah
Khalid, Haniza
Mat Ghani, Gairuzazmi
author_facet Norazman, Umi Zakiah
Khalid, Haniza
Mat Ghani, Gairuzazmi
author_sort Norazman, Umi Zakiah
building IIUM Repository
collection Online Access
description In Malaysia, food price inflation reached its highest level at 8.8% in mid-2008 compared to overall inflation of 5.5% for the same period, mainly blamed on the spike in world commodity prices. However, recent moves by the government to rationalize food and energy subsidies have also led to higher than normal headline inflation figures and cause public concern. This study examines the pattern of retail food price changes and also explores the link between world raw food prices and subsidies on domestic retail prices. A vector error correction model (VECM) of monthly data (1991-2013) confirms that real effective exchange rate and world oil price primarily determine the food price in Malaysia. World food commodity prices matter as well but this effect is primarily indirect via the impact with labor cost on world agriculture prices, the latter’s change being subsequently passed through on the domestic retail prices. Given the expectation of unstable macro conditions in global market, world commodity price is likely to be uncertain in the future, understanding the dynamics of these shocks on domestic retail price is important for future macroeconomics policy design.
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institution International Islamic University Malaysia
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spelling iium-514852016-08-17T07:40:08Z http://irep.iium.edu.my/51485/ Identifying key drivers of food price inflation in Malaysia Norazman, Umi Zakiah Khalid, Haniza Mat Ghani, Gairuzazmi HB221 Price HB801 Consumption. Demand In Malaysia, food price inflation reached its highest level at 8.8% in mid-2008 compared to overall inflation of 5.5% for the same period, mainly blamed on the spike in world commodity prices. However, recent moves by the government to rationalize food and energy subsidies have also led to higher than normal headline inflation figures and cause public concern. This study examines the pattern of retail food price changes and also explores the link between world raw food prices and subsidies on domestic retail prices. A vector error correction model (VECM) of monthly data (1991-2013) confirms that real effective exchange rate and world oil price primarily determine the food price in Malaysia. World food commodity prices matter as well but this effect is primarily indirect via the impact with labor cost on world agriculture prices, the latter’s change being subsequently passed through on the domestic retail prices. Given the expectation of unstable macro conditions in global market, world commodity price is likely to be uncertain in the future, understanding the dynamics of these shocks on domestic retail price is important for future macroeconomics policy design. 2016-07-28 Proceeding Paper PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://irep.iium.edu.my/51485/1/51485_Identifying_key_drivers_of_food_price_inflation_in_Malaysia.pdf Norazman, Umi Zakiah and Khalid, Haniza and Mat Ghani, Gairuzazmi (2016) Identifying key drivers of food price inflation in Malaysia. In: Persidangan Kebangsaan Ekonomi Malaysia ke 11, Putrajaya.
spellingShingle HB221 Price
HB801 Consumption. Demand
Norazman, Umi Zakiah
Khalid, Haniza
Mat Ghani, Gairuzazmi
Identifying key drivers of food price inflation in Malaysia
title Identifying key drivers of food price inflation in Malaysia
title_full Identifying key drivers of food price inflation in Malaysia
title_fullStr Identifying key drivers of food price inflation in Malaysia
title_full_unstemmed Identifying key drivers of food price inflation in Malaysia
title_short Identifying key drivers of food price inflation in Malaysia
title_sort identifying key drivers of food price inflation in malaysia
topic HB221 Price
HB801 Consumption. Demand
url http://irep.iium.edu.my/51485/
http://irep.iium.edu.my/51485/1/51485_Identifying_key_drivers_of_food_price_inflation_in_Malaysia.pdf