Palm oil price, exchange rate, and stock market: a wavelet analysis on the Malaysian market

The study investigates causality between palm oil price, exchange rate and the Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) based on the theory of wavelets on the basis of monthly data from the period January 1990 - December 2012. This methodology enables us to identify that the causality between these econo...

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Main Authors: Saiti, Buerhan, Ali, Azlan, Abdullah, Naziruddin, Sajilan, Sulaiman
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Eurasian Publications 2014
Subjects:
Online Access:http://irep.iium.edu.my/44502/
http://irep.iium.edu.my/44502/4/EJEF-2.pdf
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author Saiti, Buerhan
Ali, Azlan
Abdullah, Naziruddin
Sajilan, Sulaiman
author_facet Saiti, Buerhan
Ali, Azlan
Abdullah, Naziruddin
Sajilan, Sulaiman
author_sort Saiti, Buerhan
building IIUM Repository
collection Online Access
description The study investigates causality between palm oil price, exchange rate and the Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) based on the theory of wavelets on the basis of monthly data from the period January 1990 - December 2012. This methodology enables us to identify that the causality between these economic variables at different time intervals. This wavelet decomposition also provides additional evidence to the “reverse causality” theory. We found that the wavelet cross-correlations between stock price and exchange rate skewed to the right at all levels with negative significant correlations which implies that the exchange rate leads the stock price. In the case of stock and commodity prices, there is no significant wavelet-cross- correlation at first four levels. However, the wavelet cross-correlations skewed to the left at level 5 which implies that the stock price leads commodity price in the long-run. Finally, there is no significant wavelet cross-correlations at all levels as long as we concern between commodity price and exchange rate. It implies that there is no lead-lag relationship between commodity price and exchange rate.
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publishDate 2014
publisher Eurasian Publications
recordtype eprints
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spelling iium-445022015-09-01T03:02:12Z http://irep.iium.edu.my/44502/ Palm oil price, exchange rate, and stock market: a wavelet analysis on the Malaysian market Saiti, Buerhan Ali, Azlan Abdullah, Naziruddin Sajilan, Sulaiman HB221 Price The study investigates causality between palm oil price, exchange rate and the Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) based on the theory of wavelets on the basis of monthly data from the period January 1990 - December 2012. This methodology enables us to identify that the causality between these economic variables at different time intervals. This wavelet decomposition also provides additional evidence to the “reverse causality” theory. We found that the wavelet cross-correlations between stock price and exchange rate skewed to the right at all levels with negative significant correlations which implies that the exchange rate leads the stock price. In the case of stock and commodity prices, there is no significant wavelet-cross- correlation at first four levels. However, the wavelet cross-correlations skewed to the left at level 5 which implies that the stock price leads commodity price in the long-run. Finally, there is no significant wavelet cross-correlations at all levels as long as we concern between commodity price and exchange rate. It implies that there is no lead-lag relationship between commodity price and exchange rate. Eurasian Publications 2014 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://irep.iium.edu.my/44502/4/EJEF-2.pdf Saiti, Buerhan and Ali, Azlan and Abdullah, Naziruddin and Sajilan, Sulaiman (2014) Palm oil price, exchange rate, and stock market: a wavelet analysis on the Malaysian market. Eurasian Journal of Economics and Finance, 2 (1). pp. 13-27. ISSN 2148-0192 http://eurasianpublications.com/
spellingShingle HB221 Price
Saiti, Buerhan
Ali, Azlan
Abdullah, Naziruddin
Sajilan, Sulaiman
Palm oil price, exchange rate, and stock market: a wavelet analysis on the Malaysian market
title Palm oil price, exchange rate, and stock market: a wavelet analysis on the Malaysian market
title_full Palm oil price, exchange rate, and stock market: a wavelet analysis on the Malaysian market
title_fullStr Palm oil price, exchange rate, and stock market: a wavelet analysis on the Malaysian market
title_full_unstemmed Palm oil price, exchange rate, and stock market: a wavelet analysis on the Malaysian market
title_short Palm oil price, exchange rate, and stock market: a wavelet analysis on the Malaysian market
title_sort palm oil price, exchange rate, and stock market: a wavelet analysis on the malaysian market
topic HB221 Price
url http://irep.iium.edu.my/44502/
http://irep.iium.edu.my/44502/
http://irep.iium.edu.my/44502/4/EJEF-2.pdf