The susceptibility of Islamic banks’ credit risk towards macroeconomic variables

Credit risk is the most anticipated risk in the banking system. It is one of the key elements to assess systemic risk and stress testing financial fragility which is very helpful to come up with macro-prudential surveillance in financial systems. Unlike the conventional banking system, there is dear...

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Main Authors: Nursechafia, Nursechafia, Abduh, Muhamad
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IIUM Institute of Islamic Banking and Finance 2014
Subjects:
Online Access:http://irep.iium.edu.my/36510/
http://irep.iium.edu.my/36510/1/JIF_3%2C1%2C_p_23-37.pdf
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author Nursechafia, Nursechafia
Abduh, Muhamad
author_facet Nursechafia, Nursechafia
Abduh, Muhamad
author_sort Nursechafia, Nursechafia
building IIUM Repository
collection Online Access
description Credit risk is the most anticipated risk in the banking system. It is one of the key elements to assess systemic risk and stress testing financial fragility which is very helpful to come up with macro-prudential surveillance in financial systems. Unlike the conventional banking system, there is dearth of empirical study on macro-credit risk in relation with Islamic banking. As such, further research regarding the stability of the Islamic banking industry has become imperative. Accordingly, this paper is aimed at determining and assessing the long run vulnerabilities of Islamic financing sustainability in term of its response to changes in key macroeconomic variables by using time series econometric approaches of cointegration and vector autoregression (VAR). Based on the result of simulating variance decomposition (VD) and impulse response function (IRF), it is found that, sufficient evidence of long-run relationship between credit risk ratio in Islamic banking industry and the selected macroeconomic variables exist. The exchange rate, supply side-inflation, and growth have been indicated to negatively influence credit risk rate in Islamic banking, while money supply and Islamic interbank money market rate positively affect the risk rate.
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spelling iium-365102018-06-20T07:14:44Z http://irep.iium.edu.my/36510/ The susceptibility of Islamic banks’ credit risk towards macroeconomic variables Nursechafia, Nursechafia Abduh, Muhamad BP173.75 Islam and economics HG1501 Banking Credit risk is the most anticipated risk in the banking system. It is one of the key elements to assess systemic risk and stress testing financial fragility which is very helpful to come up with macro-prudential surveillance in financial systems. Unlike the conventional banking system, there is dearth of empirical study on macro-credit risk in relation with Islamic banking. As such, further research regarding the stability of the Islamic banking industry has become imperative. Accordingly, this paper is aimed at determining and assessing the long run vulnerabilities of Islamic financing sustainability in term of its response to changes in key macroeconomic variables by using time series econometric approaches of cointegration and vector autoregression (VAR). Based on the result of simulating variance decomposition (VD) and impulse response function (IRF), it is found that, sufficient evidence of long-run relationship between credit risk ratio in Islamic banking industry and the selected macroeconomic variables exist. The exchange rate, supply side-inflation, and growth have been indicated to negatively influence credit risk rate in Islamic banking, while money supply and Islamic interbank money market rate positively affect the risk rate. IIUM Institute of Islamic Banking and Finance 2014-03-01 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://irep.iium.edu.my/36510/1/JIF_3%2C1%2C_p_23-37.pdf Nursechafia, Nursechafia and Abduh, Muhamad (2014) The susceptibility of Islamic banks’ credit risk towards macroeconomic variables. Journal of Islamic Finance, 3 (1). pp. 23-37. ISSN 2289-2117 (O), 2289-2109 (P) http://journals.iium.edu.my/iiibf-journal/index.php/jif/issue/archive
spellingShingle BP173.75 Islam and economics
HG1501 Banking
Nursechafia, Nursechafia
Abduh, Muhamad
The susceptibility of Islamic banks’ credit risk towards macroeconomic variables
title The susceptibility of Islamic banks’ credit risk towards macroeconomic variables
title_full The susceptibility of Islamic banks’ credit risk towards macroeconomic variables
title_fullStr The susceptibility of Islamic banks’ credit risk towards macroeconomic variables
title_full_unstemmed The susceptibility of Islamic banks’ credit risk towards macroeconomic variables
title_short The susceptibility of Islamic banks’ credit risk towards macroeconomic variables
title_sort susceptibility of islamic banks’ credit risk towards macroeconomic variables
topic BP173.75 Islam and economics
HG1501 Banking
url http://irep.iium.edu.my/36510/
http://irep.iium.edu.my/36510/
http://irep.iium.edu.my/36510/1/JIF_3%2C1%2C_p_23-37.pdf