Trade openness, real exchange rate, gross domestic investment and growth in Indonesia

This study examines the relationships among economic growth, domestic investment, real exchange rate and trade openness in Indonesia using the Johansen cointegration test and Granger causality test. The results suggest that there exists a long-run relationship among the variables. All the estimated...

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Main Author: Yusoff, Mohammed
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Sage Publications 2014
Subjects:
Online Access:http://irep.iium.edu.my/35307/
http://irep.iium.edu.my/35307/1/Trade_Openness%2C_Real_Exchange_Rate%2C_Gross_Domestic_Investment_and_Growth_in_Indonesia.pdf
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author Yusoff, Mohammed
author_facet Yusoff, Mohammed
author_sort Yusoff, Mohammed
building IIUM Repository
collection Online Access
description This study examines the relationships among economic growth, domestic investment, real exchange rate and trade openness in Indonesia using the Johansen cointegration test and Granger causality test. The results suggest that there exists a long-run relationship among the variables. All the estimated coefficients of the long-run equation have the correct positive signs and significant at least at the 5 per cent level. Specifically, in the long run, a 1 per cent increase in trade openness leads to about 26.5 per cent increase in Indonesian real GDP, a 1 per cent increase in domestic investment will spur real GDP by 1.8 per cent, and a 1 per cent depreciation of the rupiah raises real GDP by about 6.4 per cent. The results from the Granger causality test suggest that all the variables affect real GDP in the short run. Both trade openness and gross domestic investment cause growth unidirectionally in the short run, but feedback occurs between growth and the real exchange rate. The evidences suggest that trade openness, gross domestic investment and the exchange rate are important determinants of economic growth and therefore policy makers should seriously take these variables into account in their policy construct in order to achieve sustained economic growth in Indonesia. Specifically, Indonesia should liberalise foreign trade, improve the domestic investment climate and maintain exchange rate stability.
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spelling iium-353072018-06-20T07:33:12Z http://irep.iium.edu.my/35307/ Trade openness, real exchange rate, gross domestic investment and growth in Indonesia Yusoff, Mohammed HF3000 By region or country This study examines the relationships among economic growth, domestic investment, real exchange rate and trade openness in Indonesia using the Johansen cointegration test and Granger causality test. The results suggest that there exists a long-run relationship among the variables. All the estimated coefficients of the long-run equation have the correct positive signs and significant at least at the 5 per cent level. Specifically, in the long run, a 1 per cent increase in trade openness leads to about 26.5 per cent increase in Indonesian real GDP, a 1 per cent increase in domestic investment will spur real GDP by 1.8 per cent, and a 1 per cent depreciation of the rupiah raises real GDP by about 6.4 per cent. The results from the Granger causality test suggest that all the variables affect real GDP in the short run. Both trade openness and gross domestic investment cause growth unidirectionally in the short run, but feedback occurs between growth and the real exchange rate. The evidences suggest that trade openness, gross domestic investment and the exchange rate are important determinants of economic growth and therefore policy makers should seriously take these variables into account in their policy construct in order to achieve sustained economic growth in Indonesia. Specifically, Indonesia should liberalise foreign trade, improve the domestic investment climate and maintain exchange rate stability. Sage Publications 2014-02 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://irep.iium.edu.my/35307/1/Trade_Openness%2C_Real_Exchange_Rate%2C_Gross_Domestic_Investment_and_Growth_in_Indonesia.pdf Yusoff, Mohammed (2014) Trade openness, real exchange rate, gross domestic investment and growth in Indonesia. Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research , 8 (1). pp. 1-13. ISSN 0973-8029 http://mar.sagepub.com/content/8/1/1.refs
spellingShingle HF3000 By region or country
Yusoff, Mohammed
Trade openness, real exchange rate, gross domestic investment and growth in Indonesia
title Trade openness, real exchange rate, gross domestic investment and growth in Indonesia
title_full Trade openness, real exchange rate, gross domestic investment and growth in Indonesia
title_fullStr Trade openness, real exchange rate, gross domestic investment and growth in Indonesia
title_full_unstemmed Trade openness, real exchange rate, gross domestic investment and growth in Indonesia
title_short Trade openness, real exchange rate, gross domestic investment and growth in Indonesia
title_sort trade openness, real exchange rate, gross domestic investment and growth in indonesia
topic HF3000 By region or country
url http://irep.iium.edu.my/35307/
http://irep.iium.edu.my/35307/
http://irep.iium.edu.my/35307/1/Trade_Openness%2C_Real_Exchange_Rate%2C_Gross_Domestic_Investment_and_Growth_in_Indonesia.pdf