Cross country mean and volatility spillover effects of food prices: A multivariate TGARCH analysis

This study assesses the mean and volatility spillover effects of changes in food prices among a number of Asia and Pacific countries - Australia, New Zealand, Korea, Singapore, Hong Kong, Taiwan, India and Thailand - including the USA as a special case using daily observations for 1995 to 2010. Em...

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Main Authors: Alom, Fardous, Bert, Ward, Baiding, Hu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Economics Bulletin 2011
Subjects:
Online Access:http://irep.iium.edu.my/34737/
http://irep.iium.edu.my/34737/1/EB-11-V31-I2-P135.pdf
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author Alom, Fardous
Bert, Ward
Baiding, Hu
author_facet Alom, Fardous
Bert, Ward
Baiding, Hu
author_sort Alom, Fardous
building IIUM Repository
collection Online Access
description This study assesses the mean and volatility spillover effects of changes in food prices among a number of Asia and Pacific countries - Australia, New Zealand, Korea, Singapore, Hong Kong, Taiwan, India and Thailand - including the USA as a special case using daily observations for 1995 to 2010. Employing an empirical multivariate-TGARCH model this study reveals that while there is weak evidence of own and cross country mean return spillover effects among the selected food markets with strong evidence of mean spillover effects from the USA food price returns to all other markets, but with respect to volatility spillovers there are considerable own and cross country effects and these effects are highly persistent and are non linear. These volatility effects and their persistence should be considered in policy analysis along with the US market's influence in mean return transmission.
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publishDate 2011
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spelling iium-347372014-01-29T04:18:35Z http://irep.iium.edu.my/34737/ Cross country mean and volatility spillover effects of food prices: A multivariate TGARCH analysis Alom, Fardous Bert, Ward Baiding, Hu HB221 Price This study assesses the mean and volatility spillover effects of changes in food prices among a number of Asia and Pacific countries - Australia, New Zealand, Korea, Singapore, Hong Kong, Taiwan, India and Thailand - including the USA as a special case using daily observations for 1995 to 2010. Employing an empirical multivariate-TGARCH model this study reveals that while there is weak evidence of own and cross country mean return spillover effects among the selected food markets with strong evidence of mean spillover effects from the USA food price returns to all other markets, but with respect to volatility spillovers there are considerable own and cross country effects and these effects are highly persistent and are non linear. These volatility effects and their persistence should be considered in policy analysis along with the US market's influence in mean return transmission. Economics Bulletin 2011-05-15 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://irep.iium.edu.my/34737/1/EB-11-V31-I2-P135.pdf Alom, Fardous and Bert, Ward and Baiding, Hu (2011) Cross country mean and volatility spillover effects of food prices: A multivariate TGARCH analysis. Economics Bulletin, 31 (2). pp. 1439-1450. ISSN 1545-2921 http://www.accessecon.com/Pubs/EB/2011/Volume31/EB-11-V31-I2-P135.pdf
spellingShingle HB221 Price
Alom, Fardous
Bert, Ward
Baiding, Hu
Cross country mean and volatility spillover effects of food prices: A multivariate TGARCH analysis
title Cross country mean and volatility spillover effects of food prices: A multivariate TGARCH analysis
title_full Cross country mean and volatility spillover effects of food prices: A multivariate TGARCH analysis
title_fullStr Cross country mean and volatility spillover effects of food prices: A multivariate TGARCH analysis
title_full_unstemmed Cross country mean and volatility spillover effects of food prices: A multivariate TGARCH analysis
title_short Cross country mean and volatility spillover effects of food prices: A multivariate TGARCH analysis
title_sort cross country mean and volatility spillover effects of food prices: a multivariate tgarch analysis
topic HB221 Price
url http://irep.iium.edu.my/34737/
http://irep.iium.edu.my/34737/
http://irep.iium.edu.my/34737/1/EB-11-V31-I2-P135.pdf