Behavioral analytics for optimized self-scheduling in sustainable local multi-carrier energy systems: A prospect theory approach

The transition towards sustainable energy systems demands innovative solutions to overcome the challenges of integrating diverse energy carriers, fluctuating market dynamics, and operator decision-making complexities. The active involvement of local multi-carrier energy systems (LMCES) as virtual po...

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Main Authors: Dorahaki, S., Muyeen, S M, Amjady, N., Qarnain, S.S., Benbouzid, M.
Format: Journal Article
Published: 2025
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/97497
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author Dorahaki, S.
Muyeen, S M
Amjady, N.
Qarnain, S.S.
Benbouzid, M.
author_facet Dorahaki, S.
Muyeen, S M
Amjady, N.
Qarnain, S.S.
Benbouzid, M.
author_sort Dorahaki, S.
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description The transition towards sustainable energy systems demands innovative solutions to overcome the challenges of integrating diverse energy carriers, fluctuating market dynamics, and operator decision-making complexities. The active involvement of local multi-carrier energy systems (LMCES) as virtual power plants in upstream energy markets is particularly hindered by the limitations of conventional optimization methods, which fail to capture the nuanced behavioral aspects of decision-making. This paper presents a novel prescriptive behavioral analytics framework for LMCES self-scheduling, integrating insights from prospect theory to address the operator's behavioral tendencies, including loss aversion, subjective risk attitudes, and mental reference points. By embedding these behavioral considerations into a mixed integer linear programming (MILP) model, the proposed approach accounts for real-world decision-making complexities often overlooked in conventional economic theories based on rationality. Comparative analyses demonstrate that the proposed framework not only enhances the modeling of LMCES operators’ decision-making processes but also improves energy scheduling efficiency and supports sustainable energy transitions. The findings provide actionable insights for optimizing LMCES operations, advancing their role in achieving energy sustainability goals.
first_indexed 2025-11-14T11:48:41Z
format Journal Article
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institution Curtin University Malaysia
institution_category Local University
last_indexed 2025-11-14T11:48:41Z
publishDate 2025
recordtype eprints
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spelling curtin-20.500.11937-974972025-04-16T03:40:05Z Behavioral analytics for optimized self-scheduling in sustainable local multi-carrier energy systems: A prospect theory approach Dorahaki, S. Muyeen, S M Amjady, N. Qarnain, S.S. Benbouzid, M. The transition towards sustainable energy systems demands innovative solutions to overcome the challenges of integrating diverse energy carriers, fluctuating market dynamics, and operator decision-making complexities. The active involvement of local multi-carrier energy systems (LMCES) as virtual power plants in upstream energy markets is particularly hindered by the limitations of conventional optimization methods, which fail to capture the nuanced behavioral aspects of decision-making. This paper presents a novel prescriptive behavioral analytics framework for LMCES self-scheduling, integrating insights from prospect theory to address the operator's behavioral tendencies, including loss aversion, subjective risk attitudes, and mental reference points. By embedding these behavioral considerations into a mixed integer linear programming (MILP) model, the proposed approach accounts for real-world decision-making complexities often overlooked in conventional economic theories based on rationality. Comparative analyses demonstrate that the proposed framework not only enhances the modeling of LMCES operators’ decision-making processes but also improves energy scheduling efficiency and supports sustainable energy transitions. The findings provide actionable insights for optimizing LMCES operations, advancing their role in achieving energy sustainability goals. 2025 Journal Article http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/97497 10.1016/j.segan.2025.101679 unknown
spellingShingle Dorahaki, S.
Muyeen, S M
Amjady, N.
Qarnain, S.S.
Benbouzid, M.
Behavioral analytics for optimized self-scheduling in sustainable local multi-carrier energy systems: A prospect theory approach
title Behavioral analytics for optimized self-scheduling in sustainable local multi-carrier energy systems: A prospect theory approach
title_full Behavioral analytics for optimized self-scheduling in sustainable local multi-carrier energy systems: A prospect theory approach
title_fullStr Behavioral analytics for optimized self-scheduling in sustainable local multi-carrier energy systems: A prospect theory approach
title_full_unstemmed Behavioral analytics for optimized self-scheduling in sustainable local multi-carrier energy systems: A prospect theory approach
title_short Behavioral analytics for optimized self-scheduling in sustainable local multi-carrier energy systems: A prospect theory approach
title_sort behavioral analytics for optimized self-scheduling in sustainable local multi-carrier energy systems: a prospect theory approach
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/97497