Bitcoin forks: What drives the branches?

Despite frequent Blockchain splits stemming from Bitcoin, few studies have examined the determinants of Bitcoin fork returns. In this paper, we investigate the relationships between the returns of Bitcoin forks and a range of common risk factors, including Bitcoin, currency, network and equity-based...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Conlon, T., Corbet, S., Hou, Y., Hu, Y., Oxley, Leslie
Format: Journal Article
Published: 2024
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/97468
_version_ 1848766275162996736
author Conlon, T.
Corbet, S.
Hou, Y.
Hu, Y.
Oxley, Leslie
author_facet Conlon, T.
Corbet, S.
Hou, Y.
Hu, Y.
Oxley, Leslie
author_sort Conlon, T.
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description Despite frequent Blockchain splits stemming from Bitcoin, few studies have examined the determinants of Bitcoin fork returns. In this paper, we investigate the relationships between the returns of Bitcoin forks and a range of common risk factors, including Bitcoin, currency, network and equity-based factors. From a statistical perspective, we find consistent and significant associations between fork returns, their Bitcoin counterparts, and equity markets. Other common factors, such as the equity small-minus-big factor and changes in the Japanese Yen, are found to have occasional links with fork returns. From an economic perspective, Bitcoin returns are the predominant driver of fork returns, accounting for essentially all of the explained variation. These findings are confirmed using orthogonalised common factors and with an alternative methodology, quantile regression. This research broadens our understanding of Bitcoin forks, indicating that a change in blockchain protocol is insufficient to sever links with the Bitcoin parent.
first_indexed 2025-11-14T11:48:33Z
format Journal Article
id curtin-20.500.11937-97468
institution Curtin University Malaysia
institution_category Local University
last_indexed 2025-11-14T11:48:33Z
publishDate 2024
recordtype eprints
repository_type Digital Repository
spelling curtin-20.500.11937-974682025-04-16T03:00:40Z Bitcoin forks: What drives the branches? Conlon, T. Corbet, S. Hou, Y. Hu, Y. Oxley, Leslie Despite frequent Blockchain splits stemming from Bitcoin, few studies have examined the determinants of Bitcoin fork returns. In this paper, we investigate the relationships between the returns of Bitcoin forks and a range of common risk factors, including Bitcoin, currency, network and equity-based factors. From a statistical perspective, we find consistent and significant associations between fork returns, their Bitcoin counterparts, and equity markets. Other common factors, such as the equity small-minus-big factor and changes in the Japanese Yen, are found to have occasional links with fork returns. From an economic perspective, Bitcoin returns are the predominant driver of fork returns, accounting for essentially all of the explained variation. These findings are confirmed using orthogonalised common factors and with an alternative methodology, quantile regression. This research broadens our understanding of Bitcoin forks, indicating that a change in blockchain protocol is insufficient to sever links with the Bitcoin parent. 2024 Journal Article http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/97468 10.1016/j.ribaf.2024.102261 unknown
spellingShingle Conlon, T.
Corbet, S.
Hou, Y.
Hu, Y.
Oxley, Leslie
Bitcoin forks: What drives the branches?
title Bitcoin forks: What drives the branches?
title_full Bitcoin forks: What drives the branches?
title_fullStr Bitcoin forks: What drives the branches?
title_full_unstemmed Bitcoin forks: What drives the branches?
title_short Bitcoin forks: What drives the branches?
title_sort bitcoin forks: what drives the branches?
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/97468