COVID-19 vaccine coverage targets to inform reopening plans in a low incidence setting
Since the emergence of SARS-CoV-2 in 2019 through to mid-2021, much of the Australian population lived in a COVID-19-free environment. This followed the broadly successful implementation of a strong suppression strategy, including international border closures. With the availability of COVID-19 vacc...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Journal Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
2023
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| Online Access: | http://purl.org/au-research/grants/arc/DE180100635 http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/96173 |
| _version_ | 1848766106931560448 |
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| author | Conway, E. Walker, C.R. Baker, C. Lydeamore, M.J. Ryan, G.E. Campbell, T. Miller, J.C. Rebuli, N. Yeung, M. Kabashima, G. Geard, N. Wood, J. McCaw, J.M. McVernon, J. Golding, Nick Price, D.J. Shearer, F.M. |
| author_facet | Conway, E. Walker, C.R. Baker, C. Lydeamore, M.J. Ryan, G.E. Campbell, T. Miller, J.C. Rebuli, N. Yeung, M. Kabashima, G. Geard, N. Wood, J. McCaw, J.M. McVernon, J. Golding, Nick Price, D.J. Shearer, F.M. |
| author_sort | Conway, E. |
| building | Curtin Institutional Repository |
| collection | Online Access |
| description | Since the emergence of SARS-CoV-2 in 2019 through to mid-2021, much of the Australian population lived in a COVID-19-free environment. This followed the broadly successful implementation of a strong suppression strategy, including international border closures. With the availability of COVID-19 vaccines in early 2021, the national government sought to transition from a state of minimal incidence and strong suppression activities to one of high vaccine coverage and reduced restrictions but with still-manageable transmission. This transition is articulated in the national 're-opening' plan released in July 2021. Here, we report on the dynamic modelling study that directly informed policies within the national re-opening plan including the identification of priority age groups for vaccination, target vaccine coverage thresholds and the anticipated requirements for continued public health measures - assuming circulation of the Delta SARS-CoV-2 variant. Our findings demonstrated that adult vaccine coverage needed to be at least 60% to minimize public health and clinical impacts following the establishment of community transmission. They also supported the need for continued application of test-trace-isolate-quarantine and social measures during the vaccine roll-out phase and beyond. |
| first_indexed | 2025-11-14T11:45:53Z |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | curtin-20.500.11937-96173 |
| institution | Curtin University Malaysia |
| institution_category | Local University |
| language | eng |
| last_indexed | 2025-11-14T11:45:53Z |
| publishDate | 2023 |
| recordtype | eprints |
| repository_type | Digital Repository |
| spelling | curtin-20.500.11937-961732024-11-08T00:19:34Z COVID-19 vaccine coverage targets to inform reopening plans in a low incidence setting Conway, E. Walker, C.R. Baker, C. Lydeamore, M.J. Ryan, G.E. Campbell, T. Miller, J.C. Rebuli, N. Yeung, M. Kabashima, G. Geard, N. Wood, J. McCaw, J.M. McVernon, J. Golding, Nick Price, D.J. Shearer, F.M. COVID-19 SARS-CoV-2 mathematical modelling pandemic response public health policy vaccination strategy Adult Humans COVID-19 Vaccines SARS-CoV-2 Incidence COVID-19 Australia Humans Incidence Adult Australia COVID-19 SARS-CoV-2 COVID-19 Vaccines Since the emergence of SARS-CoV-2 in 2019 through to mid-2021, much of the Australian population lived in a COVID-19-free environment. This followed the broadly successful implementation of a strong suppression strategy, including international border closures. With the availability of COVID-19 vaccines in early 2021, the national government sought to transition from a state of minimal incidence and strong suppression activities to one of high vaccine coverage and reduced restrictions but with still-manageable transmission. This transition is articulated in the national 're-opening' plan released in July 2021. Here, we report on the dynamic modelling study that directly informed policies within the national re-opening plan including the identification of priority age groups for vaccination, target vaccine coverage thresholds and the anticipated requirements for continued public health measures - assuming circulation of the Delta SARS-CoV-2 variant. Our findings demonstrated that adult vaccine coverage needed to be at least 60% to minimize public health and clinical impacts following the establishment of community transmission. They also supported the need for continued application of test-trace-isolate-quarantine and social measures during the vaccine roll-out phase and beyond. 2023 Journal Article http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/96173 10.1098/rspb.2023.1437 eng http://purl.org/au-research/grants/arc/DE180100635 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ fulltext |
| spellingShingle | COVID-19 SARS-CoV-2 mathematical modelling pandemic response public health policy vaccination strategy Adult Humans COVID-19 Vaccines SARS-CoV-2 Incidence COVID-19 Australia Humans Incidence Adult Australia COVID-19 SARS-CoV-2 COVID-19 Vaccines Conway, E. Walker, C.R. Baker, C. Lydeamore, M.J. Ryan, G.E. Campbell, T. Miller, J.C. Rebuli, N. Yeung, M. Kabashima, G. Geard, N. Wood, J. McCaw, J.M. McVernon, J. Golding, Nick Price, D.J. Shearer, F.M. COVID-19 vaccine coverage targets to inform reopening plans in a low incidence setting |
| title | COVID-19 vaccine coverage targets to inform reopening plans in a low incidence setting |
| title_full | COVID-19 vaccine coverage targets to inform reopening plans in a low incidence setting |
| title_fullStr | COVID-19 vaccine coverage targets to inform reopening plans in a low incidence setting |
| title_full_unstemmed | COVID-19 vaccine coverage targets to inform reopening plans in a low incidence setting |
| title_short | COVID-19 vaccine coverage targets to inform reopening plans in a low incidence setting |
| title_sort | covid-19 vaccine coverage targets to inform reopening plans in a low incidence setting |
| topic | COVID-19 SARS-CoV-2 mathematical modelling pandemic response public health policy vaccination strategy Adult Humans COVID-19 Vaccines SARS-CoV-2 Incidence COVID-19 Australia Humans Incidence Adult Australia COVID-19 SARS-CoV-2 COVID-19 Vaccines |
| url | http://purl.org/au-research/grants/arc/DE180100635 http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/96173 |