Arterial carbon dioxide tension has a non-linear association with survival after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: A multicentre observational study

Purpose: International guidelines recommend targeting normocapnia in mechanically ventilated out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) survivors, but the optimal arterial carbon dioxide (PaCO2) target remains controversial. We hypothesised that the relationship between PaCO2 and survival is non-linear,...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: McKenzie, Nicole, Finn, Judith, Dobb, G., Bailey, P., Arendts, G., Celenza, A., Fatovich, D., Jenkins, I., Ball, Stephen, Bray, Janet, Ho, K.M.
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: ELSEVIER IRELAND LTD 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:http://purl.org/au-research/grants/nhmrc/1029983
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/93463
_version_ 1848765736033452032
author McKenzie, Nicole
Finn, Judith
Dobb, G.
Bailey, P.
Arendts, G.
Celenza, A.
Fatovich, D.
Jenkins, I.
Ball, Stephen
Bray, Janet
Ho, K.M.
author_facet McKenzie, Nicole
Finn, Judith
Dobb, G.
Bailey, P.
Arendts, G.
Celenza, A.
Fatovich, D.
Jenkins, I.
Ball, Stephen
Bray, Janet
Ho, K.M.
author_sort McKenzie, Nicole
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description Purpose: International guidelines recommend targeting normocapnia in mechanically ventilated out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) survivors, but the optimal arterial carbon dioxide (PaCO2) target remains controversial. We hypothesised that the relationship between PaCO2 and survival is non-linear, and targeting an intermediate level of PaCO2 compared to a low or high PaCO2 in the first 24-h of ICU admission is associated with an improved survival to hospital discharge (STHD) and at 12-months. Methods: We conducted a retrospective multi-centre cohort study of adults with non-traumatic OHCA requiring admission to one of four tertiary hospital intensive care units for mechanical ventilation. A four-knot restricted cubic spline function was used to allow non-linearity between the mean PaCO2 within the first 24 h of ICU admission after OHCA and survival, and optimal PaCO2 cut-points were identified from the spline curve to generate corresponding odds ratios. Results: We analysed 3769 PaCO2 results within the first 24-h of ICU admission, from 493 patients. PaCO2 and survival had an inverted U-shape association; normocapnia was associated with significantly improved STHD compared to either hypocapnia (<35 mmHg) (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 0.45, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.24−0.83) or hypercapnia (>45 mmHg) (aOR 0.45, 95% CI 0.24−0.84). Of the twelve predictors assessed, PaCO2 was the third most important predictor, and explained >11% of the variability in survival. The survival benefits of normocapnia extended to 12-months. Conclusions: Normocapnia within the first 24-h of intensive care admission after OHCA was associated with an improved survival compared to patients with hypocapnia or hypercapnia.
first_indexed 2025-11-14T11:39:59Z
format Journal Article
id curtin-20.500.11937-93463
institution Curtin University Malaysia
institution_category Local University
language English
last_indexed 2025-11-14T11:39:59Z
publishDate 2021
publisher ELSEVIER IRELAND LTD
recordtype eprints
repository_type Digital Repository
spelling curtin-20.500.11937-934632023-10-25T07:44:04Z Arterial carbon dioxide tension has a non-linear association with survival after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: A multicentre observational study McKenzie, Nicole Finn, Judith Dobb, G. Bailey, P. Arendts, G. Celenza, A. Fatovich, D. Jenkins, I. Ball, Stephen Bray, Janet Ho, K.M. Science & Technology Life Sciences & Biomedicine Critical Care Medicine Emergency Medicine General & Internal Medicine Arterial carbon dioxide tension Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest Post-resuscitation care Survival Neurological outcome INTENSIVE-CARE-UNIT BLOOD GAS TENSIONS BRAIN-INJURY RESUSCITATION GUIDELINES MORTALITY OXYGEN TRIAL Arterial carbon dioxide tension Neurological outcome Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest Post-resuscitation care Survival Adult Carbon Dioxide Cohort Studies Humans Hypercapnia Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Retrospective Studies Humans Hypercapnia Carbon Dioxide Retrospective Studies Cohort Studies Adult Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Purpose: International guidelines recommend targeting normocapnia in mechanically ventilated out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) survivors, but the optimal arterial carbon dioxide (PaCO2) target remains controversial. We hypothesised that the relationship between PaCO2 and survival is non-linear, and targeting an intermediate level of PaCO2 compared to a low or high PaCO2 in the first 24-h of ICU admission is associated with an improved survival to hospital discharge (STHD) and at 12-months. Methods: We conducted a retrospective multi-centre cohort study of adults with non-traumatic OHCA requiring admission to one of four tertiary hospital intensive care units for mechanical ventilation. A four-knot restricted cubic spline function was used to allow non-linearity between the mean PaCO2 within the first 24 h of ICU admission after OHCA and survival, and optimal PaCO2 cut-points were identified from the spline curve to generate corresponding odds ratios. Results: We analysed 3769 PaCO2 results within the first 24-h of ICU admission, from 493 patients. PaCO2 and survival had an inverted U-shape association; normocapnia was associated with significantly improved STHD compared to either hypocapnia (<35 mmHg) (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 0.45, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.24−0.83) or hypercapnia (>45 mmHg) (aOR 0.45, 95% CI 0.24−0.84). Of the twelve predictors assessed, PaCO2 was the third most important predictor, and explained >11% of the variability in survival. The survival benefits of normocapnia extended to 12-months. Conclusions: Normocapnia within the first 24-h of intensive care admission after OHCA was associated with an improved survival compared to patients with hypocapnia or hypercapnia. 2021 Journal Article http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/93463 10.1016/j.resuscitation.2021.01.035 English http://purl.org/au-research/grants/nhmrc/1029983 http://purl.org/au-research/grants/nhmrc/1174838 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ ELSEVIER IRELAND LTD fulltext
spellingShingle Science & Technology
Life Sciences & Biomedicine
Critical Care Medicine
Emergency Medicine
General & Internal Medicine
Arterial carbon dioxide tension
Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest
Post-resuscitation care
Survival
Neurological outcome
INTENSIVE-CARE-UNIT
BLOOD GAS TENSIONS
BRAIN-INJURY
RESUSCITATION
GUIDELINES
MORTALITY
OXYGEN
TRIAL
Arterial carbon dioxide tension
Neurological outcome
Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest
Post-resuscitation care
Survival
Adult
Carbon Dioxide
Cohort Studies
Humans
Hypercapnia
Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest
Retrospective Studies
Humans
Hypercapnia
Carbon Dioxide
Retrospective Studies
Cohort Studies
Adult
Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest
McKenzie, Nicole
Finn, Judith
Dobb, G.
Bailey, P.
Arendts, G.
Celenza, A.
Fatovich, D.
Jenkins, I.
Ball, Stephen
Bray, Janet
Ho, K.M.
Arterial carbon dioxide tension has a non-linear association with survival after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: A multicentre observational study
title Arterial carbon dioxide tension has a non-linear association with survival after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: A multicentre observational study
title_full Arterial carbon dioxide tension has a non-linear association with survival after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: A multicentre observational study
title_fullStr Arterial carbon dioxide tension has a non-linear association with survival after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: A multicentre observational study
title_full_unstemmed Arterial carbon dioxide tension has a non-linear association with survival after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: A multicentre observational study
title_short Arterial carbon dioxide tension has a non-linear association with survival after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: A multicentre observational study
title_sort arterial carbon dioxide tension has a non-linear association with survival after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: a multicentre observational study
topic Science & Technology
Life Sciences & Biomedicine
Critical Care Medicine
Emergency Medicine
General & Internal Medicine
Arterial carbon dioxide tension
Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest
Post-resuscitation care
Survival
Neurological outcome
INTENSIVE-CARE-UNIT
BLOOD GAS TENSIONS
BRAIN-INJURY
RESUSCITATION
GUIDELINES
MORTALITY
OXYGEN
TRIAL
Arterial carbon dioxide tension
Neurological outcome
Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest
Post-resuscitation care
Survival
Adult
Carbon Dioxide
Cohort Studies
Humans
Hypercapnia
Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest
Retrospective Studies
Humans
Hypercapnia
Carbon Dioxide
Retrospective Studies
Cohort Studies
Adult
Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest
url http://purl.org/au-research/grants/nhmrc/1029983
http://purl.org/au-research/grants/nhmrc/1029983
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/93463