Bias in the association between advanced maternal age and stillbirth using left truncated data

Restriction to analysis of births that survive past a specified gestational age (typically 20 weeks gestation) leads to biased exposure-outcome associations. This bias occurs when the cause of restriction (early pregnancy loss) is influenced by both the exposure and unmeasured factors that also affe...

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Main Authors: Dunne, Jennifer, Tessema, Gizachew, Gebremedhin, Amanuel, Pereira, Gavin
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: NATURE PORTFOLIO 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:http://purl.org/au-research/grants/nhmrc/1099655
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/93383
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author Dunne, Jennifer
Tessema, Gizachew
Gebremedhin, Amanuel
Pereira, Gavin
author_facet Dunne, Jennifer
Tessema, Gizachew
Gebremedhin, Amanuel
Pereira, Gavin
author_sort Dunne, Jennifer
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description Restriction to analysis of births that survive past a specified gestational age (typically 20 weeks gestation) leads to biased exposure-outcome associations. This bias occurs when the cause of restriction (early pregnancy loss) is influenced by both the exposure and unmeasured factors that also affect the outcome. The aim of this study is to estimate the magnitude of bias resulting from left truncated data in the association between advanced maternal age and stillbirth. We simulated data for the causal pathway under a collider-stratification mechanism. Simulation parameters were based on an observed birth cohort from Western Australia and a range of plausible values for the prevalence of early pregnancy loss, unmeasured factor U and the odds ratios for the selection effects. Selection effects included the effects of maternal age on early pregnancy loss, U on early pregnancy loss, and U on stillbirth. We compared the simulation scenarios to the observed birth cohort that was truncated to pregnancies that survived beyond 20 gestational weeks. We found evidence of marginal downward bias, which was most prominent for women aged 40 + years. Overall, we conclude that the magnitude of bias due to left truncation is minimal in the association between advanced maternal age and stillbirth.
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spelling curtin-20.500.11937-933832023-10-25T01:29:44Z Bias in the association between advanced maternal age and stillbirth using left truncated data Dunne, Jennifer Tessema, Gizachew Gebremedhin, Amanuel Pereira, Gavin Science & Technology Multidisciplinary Sciences Science & Technology - Other Topics PREGNANCY SMOKING BIRTH EPIDEMIOLOGY EXPLANATION PARADOX Pregnancy Female Humans Stillbirth Maternal Age Abortion, Spontaneous Gestational Age Bias Risk Factors Humans Abortion, Spontaneous Risk Factors Maternal Age Gestational Age Pregnancy Female Stillbirth Bias Restriction to analysis of births that survive past a specified gestational age (typically 20 weeks gestation) leads to biased exposure-outcome associations. This bias occurs when the cause of restriction (early pregnancy loss) is influenced by both the exposure and unmeasured factors that also affect the outcome. The aim of this study is to estimate the magnitude of bias resulting from left truncated data in the association between advanced maternal age and stillbirth. We simulated data for the causal pathway under a collider-stratification mechanism. Simulation parameters were based on an observed birth cohort from Western Australia and a range of plausible values for the prevalence of early pregnancy loss, unmeasured factor U and the odds ratios for the selection effects. Selection effects included the effects of maternal age on early pregnancy loss, U on early pregnancy loss, and U on stillbirth. We compared the simulation scenarios to the observed birth cohort that was truncated to pregnancies that survived beyond 20 gestational weeks. We found evidence of marginal downward bias, which was most prominent for women aged 40 + years. Overall, we conclude that the magnitude of bias due to left truncation is minimal in the association between advanced maternal age and stillbirth. 2022 Journal Article http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/93383 10.1038/s41598-022-23719-3 English http://purl.org/au-research/grants/nhmrc/1099655 http://purl.org/au-research/grants/nhmrc/1173991 http://purl.org/au-research/grants/nhmrc/1195716 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ NATURE PORTFOLIO fulltext
spellingShingle Science & Technology
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Science & Technology - Other Topics
PREGNANCY
SMOKING
BIRTH
EPIDEMIOLOGY
EXPLANATION
PARADOX
Pregnancy
Female
Humans
Stillbirth
Maternal Age
Abortion, Spontaneous
Gestational Age
Bias
Risk Factors
Humans
Abortion, Spontaneous
Risk Factors
Maternal Age
Gestational Age
Pregnancy
Female
Stillbirth
Bias
Dunne, Jennifer
Tessema, Gizachew
Gebremedhin, Amanuel
Pereira, Gavin
Bias in the association between advanced maternal age and stillbirth using left truncated data
title Bias in the association between advanced maternal age and stillbirth using left truncated data
title_full Bias in the association between advanced maternal age and stillbirth using left truncated data
title_fullStr Bias in the association between advanced maternal age and stillbirth using left truncated data
title_full_unstemmed Bias in the association between advanced maternal age and stillbirth using left truncated data
title_short Bias in the association between advanced maternal age and stillbirth using left truncated data
title_sort bias in the association between advanced maternal age and stillbirth using left truncated data
topic Science & Technology
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Science & Technology - Other Topics
PREGNANCY
SMOKING
BIRTH
EPIDEMIOLOGY
EXPLANATION
PARADOX
Pregnancy
Female
Humans
Stillbirth
Maternal Age
Abortion, Spontaneous
Gestational Age
Bias
Risk Factors
Humans
Abortion, Spontaneous
Risk Factors
Maternal Age
Gestational Age
Pregnancy
Female
Stillbirth
Bias
url http://purl.org/au-research/grants/nhmrc/1099655
http://purl.org/au-research/grants/nhmrc/1099655
http://purl.org/au-research/grants/nhmrc/1099655
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/93383