Moribund SAFTA and trade policy options for South Asia

In response to meager intra-regional trade flow South Asian countries formed their regional trade bloc SAFTA (South Asian Free Trade Area) in 2004 and made operational from 2006.Defying the rhetoric of the leaders and expectation of the masses, this bloc could not make any progress until now. Using...

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Main Authors: Islam, A., Salim, Ruhul
Other Authors: Md Mahbubul hoque Bhuiyan
Format: Conference Paper
Published: World Business Institute 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.wbiconpro.com/205-Amirul.pdf
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/9178
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author Islam, A.
Salim, Ruhul
author2 Md Mahbubul hoque Bhuiyan
author_facet Md Mahbubul hoque Bhuiyan
Islam, A.
Salim, Ruhul
author_sort Islam, A.
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description In response to meager intra-regional trade flow South Asian countries formed their regional trade bloc SAFTA (South Asian Free Trade Area) in 2004 and made operational from 2006.Defying the rhetoric of the leaders and expectation of the masses, this bloc could not make any progress until now. Using panel data over the past thirty years from the seven member states and a random effect methodology that controls for endogenous predictors, the study shows that when gravity related and other variables are controlled for SAFTA turns out to be dysfunctional. The reasons for such failure can be attributed to the thin preferential margins on only a few number of tariff lines whose benefits are evaporated once complying with the rules of origin issue and complicated administrative procedure are taken into account. Moreover appearances of new generations of traded products (e.g. computing and telecommunications equipment) that are sourced from outside the region and changes of demand structure in favor of these commodities have made South Asian trade more outward oriented. Since the “free” trade bloc is not working in South, the paper concludes that alternative trade policy options like unilateral liberalization and seeking for multiple preferential agreements can buttress trade linked growth of the region.
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spelling curtin-20.500.11937-91782017-11-02T05:55:33Z Moribund SAFTA and trade policy options for South Asia Islam, A. Salim, Ruhul Md Mahbubul hoque Bhuiyan trade flow regional integration extended gravity model trade policies South Asia In response to meager intra-regional trade flow South Asian countries formed their regional trade bloc SAFTA (South Asian Free Trade Area) in 2004 and made operational from 2006.Defying the rhetoric of the leaders and expectation of the masses, this bloc could not make any progress until now. Using panel data over the past thirty years from the seven member states and a random effect methodology that controls for endogenous predictors, the study shows that when gravity related and other variables are controlled for SAFTA turns out to be dysfunctional. The reasons for such failure can be attributed to the thin preferential margins on only a few number of tariff lines whose benefits are evaporated once complying with the rules of origin issue and complicated administrative procedure are taken into account. Moreover appearances of new generations of traded products (e.g. computing and telecommunications equipment) that are sourced from outside the region and changes of demand structure in favor of these commodities have made South Asian trade more outward oriented. Since the “free” trade bloc is not working in South, the paper concludes that alternative trade policy options like unilateral liberalization and seeking for multiple preferential agreements can buttress trade linked growth of the region. 2012 Conference Paper http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/9178 http://www.wbiconpro.com/205-Amirul.pdf World Business Institute fulltext
spellingShingle trade flow
regional integration
extended gravity model
trade policies
South Asia
Islam, A.
Salim, Ruhul
Moribund SAFTA and trade policy options for South Asia
title Moribund SAFTA and trade policy options for South Asia
title_full Moribund SAFTA and trade policy options for South Asia
title_fullStr Moribund SAFTA and trade policy options for South Asia
title_full_unstemmed Moribund SAFTA and trade policy options for South Asia
title_short Moribund SAFTA and trade policy options for South Asia
title_sort moribund safta and trade policy options for south asia
topic trade flow
regional integration
extended gravity model
trade policies
South Asia
url http://www.wbiconpro.com/205-Amirul.pdf
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/9178