Predicting responses of geo-ecological carbonate reef systems to climate change: A conceptual model and review
Coral reefs provide critical ecological and geomorphic (e.g. sediment production for reef-fronted shoreline maintenance) services, which interact in complex and dynamic ways. These services are under threat from climate change, requiring dynamic modelling approaches that predict how reef systems wil...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Book Chapter |
| Language: | English |
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CRC PRESS-TAYLOR & FRANCIS GROUP
2021
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://purl.org/au-research/grants/arc/DE180100391 http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/90253 |
| _version_ | 1848765356788678656 |
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| author | Browne, Nicola Cuttler, M. Moon, K. Morgan, K. Ross, C.L. Castro-Sanguino, C. Kennedy, E. Harris, D. Barnes, P. Bauman, A. Beetham, E. Bonesso, J. Bozec, Y.M. Cornwall, C. Dee, S. Decarlo, T. D'Olivo, J.P. Doropoulos, C. Evans, R.D. Eyre, B. Gatenby, P. Gonzalez, M. Hamylton, S. Hansen, J. Lowe, R. Mallela, J. O'Leary, M. Roff, G. Saunders, Ben Zweilfer, A. |
| author2 | Hawkins, SJ |
| author_facet | Hawkins, SJ Browne, Nicola Cuttler, M. Moon, K. Morgan, K. Ross, C.L. Castro-Sanguino, C. Kennedy, E. Harris, D. Barnes, P. Bauman, A. Beetham, E. Bonesso, J. Bozec, Y.M. Cornwall, C. Dee, S. Decarlo, T. D'Olivo, J.P. Doropoulos, C. Evans, R.D. Eyre, B. Gatenby, P. Gonzalez, M. Hamylton, S. Hansen, J. Lowe, R. Mallela, J. O'Leary, M. Roff, G. Saunders, Ben Zweilfer, A. |
| author_sort | Browne, Nicola |
| building | Curtin Institutional Repository |
| collection | Online Access |
| description | Coral reefs provide critical ecological and geomorphic (e.g. sediment production for reef-fronted shoreline maintenance) services, which interact in complex and dynamic ways. These services are under threat from climate change, requiring dynamic modelling approaches that predict how reef systems will respond to different future climate scenarios. Carbonate budgets, which estimate net reef calcium carbonate production, provide a comprehensive 'snap-shot' assessment of reef accretionary potential and reef stability. These budgets, however, were not intended to account for the full suite of processes that maintain coral reef services or to provide predictive capacity on longer timescales (decadal to centennial). To respond to the dual challenges of enhancing carbonate budget assessments and advancing their predictive capacity, we applied a novel model elicitation and review method to create a qualitative geo-ecological carbonate reef system model that links geomorphic, ecological and physical processes. Our approach conceptualizes relationships between net carbonate production, sediment transport and landform stability, and rates knowledge confidence to reveal major knowledge gaps and critical future research pathways. The model provides a blueprint for future coral reef research that aims to quantify net carbonate production and sediment dynamics, improving our capacity to predict responses of reefs and reef-fronted shorelines to future climate change. |
| first_indexed | 2025-11-14T11:33:57Z |
| format | Book Chapter |
| id | curtin-20.500.11937-90253 |
| institution | Curtin University Malaysia |
| institution_category | Local University |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2025-11-14T11:33:57Z |
| publishDate | 2021 |
| publisher | CRC PRESS-TAYLOR & FRANCIS GROUP |
| recordtype | eprints |
| repository_type | Digital Repository |
| spelling | curtin-20.500.11937-902532023-06-08T09:16:50Z Predicting responses of geo-ecological carbonate reef systems to climate change: A conceptual model and review Browne, Nicola Cuttler, M. Moon, K. Morgan, K. Ross, C.L. Castro-Sanguino, C. Kennedy, E. Harris, D. Barnes, P. Bauman, A. Beetham, E. Bonesso, J. Bozec, Y.M. Cornwall, C. Dee, S. Decarlo, T. D'Olivo, J.P. Doropoulos, C. Evans, R.D. Eyre, B. Gatenby, P. Gonzalez, M. Hamylton, S. Hansen, J. Lowe, R. Mallela, J. O'Leary, M. Roff, G. Saunders, Ben Zweilfer, A. Hawkins, SJ Lemasson, AJ Allcock, AL Bates, AE Byrne, M Evans, AJ Firth, LB Marzinelli, EM Russell, BD Smith, IP Swearer, SE Todd, PA Science & Technology Life Sciences & Biomedicine Physical Sciences Ecology Marine & Freshwater Biology Oceanography Environmental Sciences & Ecology Carbonate Budgets Ecological Modelling Mental Model Elicitation Coral Reefs Reef Islands Climate GREAT-BARRIER-REEF CRUSTOSE CORALLINE ALGAE SEA-LEVEL RISE PARROTFISHES FAMILY SCARIDAE LARGE BENTHIC FORAMINIFERA LAGOONS FRENCH-POLYNESIA STRUCTURE-FROM-MOTION BORING SPONGE CLIONA WAVE-GENERATED FLOW ONE-TREE-ISLAND Coral reefs provide critical ecological and geomorphic (e.g. sediment production for reef-fronted shoreline maintenance) services, which interact in complex and dynamic ways. These services are under threat from climate change, requiring dynamic modelling approaches that predict how reef systems will respond to different future climate scenarios. Carbonate budgets, which estimate net reef calcium carbonate production, provide a comprehensive 'snap-shot' assessment of reef accretionary potential and reef stability. These budgets, however, were not intended to account for the full suite of processes that maintain coral reef services or to provide predictive capacity on longer timescales (decadal to centennial). To respond to the dual challenges of enhancing carbonate budget assessments and advancing their predictive capacity, we applied a novel model elicitation and review method to create a qualitative geo-ecological carbonate reef system model that links geomorphic, ecological and physical processes. Our approach conceptualizes relationships between net carbonate production, sediment transport and landform stability, and rates knowledge confidence to reveal major knowledge gaps and critical future research pathways. The model provides a blueprint for future coral reef research that aims to quantify net carbonate production and sediment dynamics, improving our capacity to predict responses of reefs and reef-fronted shorelines to future climate change. 2021 Book Chapter http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/90253 10.1201/9781003138846-4 English http://purl.org/au-research/grants/arc/DE180100391 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ CRC PRESS-TAYLOR & FRANCIS GROUP fulltext |
| spellingShingle | Science & Technology Life Sciences & Biomedicine Physical Sciences Ecology Marine & Freshwater Biology Oceanography Environmental Sciences & Ecology Carbonate Budgets Ecological Modelling Mental Model Elicitation Coral Reefs Reef Islands Climate GREAT-BARRIER-REEF CRUSTOSE CORALLINE ALGAE SEA-LEVEL RISE PARROTFISHES FAMILY SCARIDAE LARGE BENTHIC FORAMINIFERA LAGOONS FRENCH-POLYNESIA STRUCTURE-FROM-MOTION BORING SPONGE CLIONA WAVE-GENERATED FLOW ONE-TREE-ISLAND Browne, Nicola Cuttler, M. Moon, K. Morgan, K. Ross, C.L. Castro-Sanguino, C. Kennedy, E. Harris, D. Barnes, P. Bauman, A. Beetham, E. Bonesso, J. Bozec, Y.M. Cornwall, C. Dee, S. Decarlo, T. D'Olivo, J.P. Doropoulos, C. Evans, R.D. Eyre, B. Gatenby, P. Gonzalez, M. Hamylton, S. Hansen, J. Lowe, R. Mallela, J. O'Leary, M. Roff, G. Saunders, Ben Zweilfer, A. Predicting responses of geo-ecological carbonate reef systems to climate change: A conceptual model and review |
| title | Predicting responses of geo-ecological carbonate reef systems to climate change: A conceptual model and review |
| title_full | Predicting responses of geo-ecological carbonate reef systems to climate change: A conceptual model and review |
| title_fullStr | Predicting responses of geo-ecological carbonate reef systems to climate change: A conceptual model and review |
| title_full_unstemmed | Predicting responses of geo-ecological carbonate reef systems to climate change: A conceptual model and review |
| title_short | Predicting responses of geo-ecological carbonate reef systems to climate change: A conceptual model and review |
| title_sort | predicting responses of geo-ecological carbonate reef systems to climate change: a conceptual model and review |
| topic | Science & Technology Life Sciences & Biomedicine Physical Sciences Ecology Marine & Freshwater Biology Oceanography Environmental Sciences & Ecology Carbonate Budgets Ecological Modelling Mental Model Elicitation Coral Reefs Reef Islands Climate GREAT-BARRIER-REEF CRUSTOSE CORALLINE ALGAE SEA-LEVEL RISE PARROTFISHES FAMILY SCARIDAE LARGE BENTHIC FORAMINIFERA LAGOONS FRENCH-POLYNESIA STRUCTURE-FROM-MOTION BORING SPONGE CLIONA WAVE-GENERATED FLOW ONE-TREE-ISLAND |
| url | http://purl.org/au-research/grants/arc/DE180100391 http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/90253 |