Within-city dwelling price growth and convergence: trends from Australia’s large cities

Within Australia’s larger cities, we observe differences in price dynamics across different sub-periods over the period 2001–2016. A combination of housing market cycles, policy reforms and different new supply configurations offers potential explanations. Neighbourhood dwelling prices within all ci...

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Main Authors: Phelps, Christopher, Harris, Mark, ViforJ, Rachel, Rowley, Steven, Wood, Gavin
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: ROUTLEDGE JOURNALS, TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:http://purl.org/au-research/grants/arc/FT200100422
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/86426
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author Phelps, Christopher
Harris, Mark
ViforJ, Rachel
Rowley, Steven
Wood, Gavin
author_facet Phelps, Christopher
Harris, Mark
ViforJ, Rachel
Rowley, Steven
Wood, Gavin
author_sort Phelps, Christopher
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description Within Australia’s larger cities, we observe differences in price dynamics across different sub-periods over the period 2001–2016. A combination of housing market cycles, policy reforms and different new supply configurations offers potential explanations. Neighbourhood dwelling prices within all cities and dwelling types converged during a 2001–2006 sub-period that coincided with strong housing price growth. Shifts in monetary policy as well as tax and housing policy reforms drove this convergence by boosting demand from first homebuyers and investors. Divergence had overtaken convergence in most cities and market segments by the final 2011–2016 sub-period. We argue that falling interest rates were responsible. The findings highlight how price indices based on movements in central measures of the price distribution can offer a poor guide to housing affordability trends at different points in a city’s neighbourhood price distribution. They also suggest that monetary policy has differential effects across market segments. These effects are markedly different in periods when monetary policy is relaxed rather than tightened, and have important implications for first homebuyer accessibility and the ability of existing homeowners to trade up.
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spelling curtin-20.500.11937-864262022-08-18T08:33:44Z Within-city dwelling price growth and convergence: trends from Australia’s large cities Phelps, Christopher Harris, Mark ViforJ, Rachel Rowley, Steven Wood, Gavin Science & Technology Social Sciences Life Sciences & Biomedicine Environmental Studies Regional & Urban Planning Urban Studies Environmental Sciences & Ecology Public Administration Within-city dwelling price growth convergence divergence Australia housing affordability HOUSE PRICES WELFARE MARKET WEALTH Within Australia’s larger cities, we observe differences in price dynamics across different sub-periods over the period 2001–2016. A combination of housing market cycles, policy reforms and different new supply configurations offers potential explanations. Neighbourhood dwelling prices within all cities and dwelling types converged during a 2001–2006 sub-period that coincided with strong housing price growth. Shifts in monetary policy as well as tax and housing policy reforms drove this convergence by boosting demand from first homebuyers and investors. Divergence had overtaken convergence in most cities and market segments by the final 2011–2016 sub-period. We argue that falling interest rates were responsible. The findings highlight how price indices based on movements in central measures of the price distribution can offer a poor guide to housing affordability trends at different points in a city’s neighbourhood price distribution. They also suggest that monetary policy has differential effects across market segments. These effects are markedly different in periods when monetary policy is relaxed rather than tightened, and have important implications for first homebuyer accessibility and the ability of existing homeowners to trade up. 2021 Journal Article http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/86426 10.1080/19491247.2020.1851635 English http://purl.org/au-research/grants/arc/FT200100422 ROUTLEDGE JOURNALS, TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD fulltext
spellingShingle Science & Technology
Social Sciences
Life Sciences & Biomedicine
Environmental Studies
Regional & Urban Planning
Urban Studies
Environmental Sciences & Ecology
Public Administration
Within-city dwelling price growth
convergence
divergence
Australia
housing affordability
HOUSE PRICES
WELFARE
MARKET
WEALTH
Phelps, Christopher
Harris, Mark
ViforJ, Rachel
Rowley, Steven
Wood, Gavin
Within-city dwelling price growth and convergence: trends from Australia’s large cities
title Within-city dwelling price growth and convergence: trends from Australia’s large cities
title_full Within-city dwelling price growth and convergence: trends from Australia’s large cities
title_fullStr Within-city dwelling price growth and convergence: trends from Australia’s large cities
title_full_unstemmed Within-city dwelling price growth and convergence: trends from Australia’s large cities
title_short Within-city dwelling price growth and convergence: trends from Australia’s large cities
title_sort within-city dwelling price growth and convergence: trends from australia’s large cities
topic Science & Technology
Social Sciences
Life Sciences & Biomedicine
Environmental Studies
Regional & Urban Planning
Urban Studies
Environmental Sciences & Ecology
Public Administration
Within-city dwelling price growth
convergence
divergence
Australia
housing affordability
HOUSE PRICES
WELFARE
MARKET
WEALTH
url http://purl.org/au-research/grants/arc/FT200100422
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/86426