Adaptive Sequential MCMC for Combined State and Parameter Estimation

In the case of a linear state space model, we implement an MCMC sampler with two phases. In the learning phase, a self-tuning sampler is used to learn the parameter mean and covariance structure. In the estimation phase, the parameter mean and covariance structure informs the proposed mechanism a...

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Main Authors: Cao, Zhanglong, Bryant, David, Parry, Matthew
Format: Journal Article
Published: 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/78086
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author Cao, Zhanglong
Bryant, David
Parry, Matthew
author_facet Cao, Zhanglong
Bryant, David
Parry, Matthew
author_sort Cao, Zhanglong
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description In the case of a linear state space model, we implement an MCMC sampler with two phases. In the learning phase, a self-tuning sampler is used to learn the parameter mean and covariance structure. In the estimation phase, the parameter mean and covariance structure informs the proposed mechanism and is also used in a delayed-acceptance algorithm. Information on the resulting state of the system is given by a Gaussian mixture. In on-line mode, the algorithm is adaptive and uses a sliding window approach to accelerate sampling speed and to maintain appropriate acceptance rates. We apply the algorithm to joined state and parameter estimation in the case of irregularly sampled GPS time series data.
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format Journal Article
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institution Curtin University Malaysia
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last_indexed 2025-11-14T11:11:18Z
publishDate 2018
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spelling curtin-20.500.11937-780862020-09-01T05:03:02Z Adaptive Sequential MCMC for Combined State and Parameter Estimation Cao, Zhanglong Bryant, David Parry, Matthew stat.AP stat.AP In the case of a linear state space model, we implement an MCMC sampler with two phases. In the learning phase, a self-tuning sampler is used to learn the parameter mean and covariance structure. In the estimation phase, the parameter mean and covariance structure informs the proposed mechanism and is also used in a delayed-acceptance algorithm. Information on the resulting state of the system is given by a Gaussian mixture. In on-line mode, the algorithm is adaptive and uses a sliding window approach to accelerate sampling speed and to maintain appropriate acceptance rates. We apply the algorithm to joined state and parameter estimation in the case of irregularly sampled GPS time series data. 2018 Journal Article http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/78086 restricted
spellingShingle stat.AP
stat.AP
Cao, Zhanglong
Bryant, David
Parry, Matthew
Adaptive Sequential MCMC for Combined State and Parameter Estimation
title Adaptive Sequential MCMC for Combined State and Parameter Estimation
title_full Adaptive Sequential MCMC for Combined State and Parameter Estimation
title_fullStr Adaptive Sequential MCMC for Combined State and Parameter Estimation
title_full_unstemmed Adaptive Sequential MCMC for Combined State and Parameter Estimation
title_short Adaptive Sequential MCMC for Combined State and Parameter Estimation
title_sort adaptive sequential mcmc for combined state and parameter estimation
topic stat.AP
stat.AP
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/78086