Does geopolitical uncertainty affect leverage and debt maturity?: evidence from MIDAS regression

We argue that geopolitical uncertainty affects market leverage and debt maturity and develop three hypotheses for this purpose. Using a mixed frequency dataset that consists of a new monthly index of geopolitical uncertainty and annual data of market leverage and debt maturity structure, we employ M...

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Main Authors: Khoo, Joye, Cheung, Adrian
Format: Conference Paper
Published: 2019
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/77318
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author Khoo, Joye
Cheung, Adrian
author_facet Khoo, Joye
Cheung, Adrian
author_sort Khoo, Joye
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description We argue that geopolitical uncertainty affects market leverage and debt maturity and develop three hypotheses for this purpose. Using a mixed frequency dataset that consists of a new monthly index of geopolitical uncertainty and annual data of market leverage and debt maturity structure, we employ Mixed Data Sampling (MIDAS) regression and find evidence consistent with our argument. In particular, the immediate impact of geopolitical uncertainty on market leverage is negative but its overall impact is positive. In addition, firms tend to shorten their debt maturity structure in the presence of geopolitical uncertainty.
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institution Curtin University Malaysia
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spelling curtin-20.500.11937-773182020-05-08T00:53:42Z Does geopolitical uncertainty affect leverage and debt maturity?: evidence from MIDAS regression Khoo, Joye Cheung, Adrian We argue that geopolitical uncertainty affects market leverage and debt maturity and develop three hypotheses for this purpose. Using a mixed frequency dataset that consists of a new monthly index of geopolitical uncertainty and annual data of market leverage and debt maturity structure, we employ Mixed Data Sampling (MIDAS) regression and find evidence consistent with our argument. In particular, the immediate impact of geopolitical uncertainty on market leverage is negative but its overall impact is positive. In addition, firms tend to shorten their debt maturity structure in the presence of geopolitical uncertainty. 2019 Conference Paper http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/77318 restricted
spellingShingle Khoo, Joye
Cheung, Adrian
Does geopolitical uncertainty affect leverage and debt maturity?: evidence from MIDAS regression
title Does geopolitical uncertainty affect leverage and debt maturity?: evidence from MIDAS regression
title_full Does geopolitical uncertainty affect leverage and debt maturity?: evidence from MIDAS regression
title_fullStr Does geopolitical uncertainty affect leverage and debt maturity?: evidence from MIDAS regression
title_full_unstemmed Does geopolitical uncertainty affect leverage and debt maturity?: evidence from MIDAS regression
title_short Does geopolitical uncertainty affect leverage and debt maturity?: evidence from MIDAS regression
title_sort does geopolitical uncertainty affect leverage and debt maturity?: evidence from midas regression
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/77318