Pricing options on investment project expansions under commodity price uncertainty

In this work we develop PDE-based mathematical models for valuing real options on investment project expansions when the underlying commodity price follows a geometric Brownian motion. The models developed are of a similar form as the Black-Scholes model for pricing conventional European call option...

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Main Authors: Li, N., Wang, Song
Format: Journal Article
Published: American Institute of Mathematical Sciences 2019
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/74514
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author Li, N.
Wang, Song
author_facet Li, N.
Wang, Song
author_sort Li, N.
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description In this work we develop PDE-based mathematical models for valuing real options on investment project expansions when the underlying commodity price follows a geometric Brownian motion. The models developed are of a similar form as the Black-Scholes model for pricing conventional European call options. However, unlike the Black-Scholes' model, the payoff conditions of the current models are determined by a PDE system. An upwind finite difference scheme is used for solving the models. Numerical experiments have been performed using two examples of pricing project expansion options in the mining industry to demonstrate that our models are able to produce financially meaningful numerical results for the two non-trivial test problems.
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publishDate 2019
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spelling curtin-20.500.11937-745142019-08-22T03:49:09Z Pricing options on investment project expansions under commodity price uncertainty Li, N. Wang, Song In this work we develop PDE-based mathematical models for valuing real options on investment project expansions when the underlying commodity price follows a geometric Brownian motion. The models developed are of a similar form as the Black-Scholes model for pricing conventional European call options. However, unlike the Black-Scholes' model, the payoff conditions of the current models are determined by a PDE system. An upwind finite difference scheme is used for solving the models. Numerical experiments have been performed using two examples of pricing project expansion options in the mining industry to demonstrate that our models are able to produce financially meaningful numerical results for the two non-trivial test problems. 2019 Journal Article http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/74514 10.3934/jimo.2018042 American Institute of Mathematical Sciences restricted
spellingShingle Li, N.
Wang, Song
Pricing options on investment project expansions under commodity price uncertainty
title Pricing options on investment project expansions under commodity price uncertainty
title_full Pricing options on investment project expansions under commodity price uncertainty
title_fullStr Pricing options on investment project expansions under commodity price uncertainty
title_full_unstemmed Pricing options on investment project expansions under commodity price uncertainty
title_short Pricing options on investment project expansions under commodity price uncertainty
title_sort pricing options on investment project expansions under commodity price uncertainty
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/74514