An Analysis of the Australian Mortality
This thesis evaluates and compares the goodness-of-fit of six selected stochastic mortality models, based on Australian mortality data. These models are applied to both sexes, across three different age-group scenarios, and four lookback windows and five look forward windows. Four different criteria...
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| Format: | Thesis |
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Curtin University
2017
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| Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/70521 |
| Summary: | This thesis evaluates and compares the goodness-of-fit of six selected stochastic mortality models, based on Australian mortality data. These models are applied to both sexes, across three different age-group scenarios, and four lookback windows and five look forward windows. Four different criteria were applied in the model selection and evaluation and results indicate that the Lee-Carter model is more efficient. The forecast is for a period of 50-years (from 2012 to 2061) and results reveal that mortality rates are improving with age stratification. |
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