Political Patronage and Analysts’ Forecast Precision

We test whether the channel by which the government plays the role of political patron to selected firms influences analysts’ forecast precision in Malaysia. Correcting for analysts’ self-selection bias, we find a negative relation between analysts’ forecast errors and the social dimension of politi...

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Main Authors: Abdul Wahab, Effiezal Aswadi, How, J., Verhoeven, P., Park, J.
Format: Journal Article
Published: Elsevier 2018
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/70164
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author Abdul Wahab, Effiezal Aswadi
How, J.
Verhoeven, P.
Park, J.
author_facet Abdul Wahab, Effiezal Aswadi
How, J.
Verhoeven, P.
Park, J.
author_sort Abdul Wahab, Effiezal Aswadi
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description We test whether the channel by which the government plays the role of political patron to selected firms influences analysts’ forecast precision in Malaysia. Correcting for analysts’ self-selection bias, we find a negative relation between analysts’ forecast errors and the social dimension of political patronage, as proxied by government-controlled institutional ownership. The reverse is found for the economic dimension of political patronage, as proxied by the percentage shareholding of government-linked corporations. We find no evidence that the personal dimension of political patronage influences analysts’ forecast precision.
first_indexed 2025-11-14T10:44:17Z
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institution Curtin University Malaysia
institution_category Local University
last_indexed 2025-11-14T10:44:17Z
publishDate 2018
publisher Elsevier
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spelling curtin-20.500.11937-701642019-07-29T05:19:14Z Political Patronage and Analysts’ Forecast Precision Abdul Wahab, Effiezal Aswadi How, J. Verhoeven, P. Park, J. We test whether the channel by which the government plays the role of political patron to selected firms influences analysts’ forecast precision in Malaysia. Correcting for analysts’ self-selection bias, we find a negative relation between analysts’ forecast errors and the social dimension of political patronage, as proxied by government-controlled institutional ownership. The reverse is found for the economic dimension of political patronage, as proxied by the percentage shareholding of government-linked corporations. We find no evidence that the personal dimension of political patronage influences analysts’ forecast precision. 2018 Journal Article http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/70164 10.1016/j.jcae.2018.07.003 Elsevier fulltext
spellingShingle Abdul Wahab, Effiezal Aswadi
How, J.
Verhoeven, P.
Park, J.
Political Patronage and Analysts’ Forecast Precision
title Political Patronage and Analysts’ Forecast Precision
title_full Political Patronage and Analysts’ Forecast Precision
title_fullStr Political Patronage and Analysts’ Forecast Precision
title_full_unstemmed Political Patronage and Analysts’ Forecast Precision
title_short Political Patronage and Analysts’ Forecast Precision
title_sort political patronage and analysts’ forecast precision
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/70164