On two-stage Monte Carlo tests of composite hypotheses

A major weakness of the classical Monte Carlo test is that it is biased when the null hypothesis is composite. This problem persists even when the number of simulations tends to infinity. A standard remedy is to perform a double bootstrap test involving two stages of Monte Carlo simulation: under su...

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Main Authors: Baddeley, Adrian, Hardegen, A., Lawrence, T., Milne, R., Nair, G., Rakshit, Suman
Format: Journal Article
Published: Elsevier Science 2017
Online Access:http://purl.org/au-research/grants/arc/DP130102322
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/63012
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author Baddeley, Adrian
Hardegen, A.
Lawrence, T.
Milne, R.
Nair, G.
Rakshit, Suman
author_facet Baddeley, Adrian
Hardegen, A.
Lawrence, T.
Milne, R.
Nair, G.
Rakshit, Suman
author_sort Baddeley, Adrian
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description A major weakness of the classical Monte Carlo test is that it is biased when the null hypothesis is composite. This problem persists even when the number of simulations tends to infinity. A standard remedy is to perform a double bootstrap test involving two stages of Monte Carlo simulation: under suitable conditions, this test is asymptotically exact for any fixed significance level. However, the two-stage test is shown to perform poorly in some common applications: for a given number of simulations, the test with the smallest achievable significance level can be strongly biased. A 'balanced' version of the two-stage test is proposed, which is exact, for all achievable significance levels, when the null hypothesis is simple, and which performs well for composite null hypotheses.
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institution Curtin University Malaysia
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last_indexed 2025-11-14T10:24:14Z
publishDate 2017
publisher Elsevier Science
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spelling curtin-20.500.11937-630122022-10-06T07:02:29Z On two-stage Monte Carlo tests of composite hypotheses Baddeley, Adrian Hardegen, A. Lawrence, T. Milne, R. Nair, G. Rakshit, Suman A major weakness of the classical Monte Carlo test is that it is biased when the null hypothesis is composite. This problem persists even when the number of simulations tends to infinity. A standard remedy is to perform a double bootstrap test involving two stages of Monte Carlo simulation: under suitable conditions, this test is asymptotically exact for any fixed significance level. However, the two-stage test is shown to perform poorly in some common applications: for a given number of simulations, the test with the smallest achievable significance level can be strongly biased. A 'balanced' version of the two-stage test is proposed, which is exact, for all achievable significance levels, when the null hypothesis is simple, and which performs well for composite null hypotheses. 2017 Journal Article http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/63012 10.1016/j.csda.2017.04.003 http://purl.org/au-research/grants/arc/DP130102322 http://purl.org/au-research/grants/arc/DP130104470 Elsevier Science restricted
spellingShingle Baddeley, Adrian
Hardegen, A.
Lawrence, T.
Milne, R.
Nair, G.
Rakshit, Suman
On two-stage Monte Carlo tests of composite hypotheses
title On two-stage Monte Carlo tests of composite hypotheses
title_full On two-stage Monte Carlo tests of composite hypotheses
title_fullStr On two-stage Monte Carlo tests of composite hypotheses
title_full_unstemmed On two-stage Monte Carlo tests of composite hypotheses
title_short On two-stage Monte Carlo tests of composite hypotheses
title_sort on two-stage monte carlo tests of composite hypotheses
url http://purl.org/au-research/grants/arc/DP130102322
http://purl.org/au-research/grants/arc/DP130102322
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/63012