A quantitative risk assessment of waterborne infectious disease in the inundation area of a tropical monsoon region

Flooding and inundation are annual events that occur during the rainy season in Cambodia, and inundation has a strong relationship with human health. This study simulated the coliform bacteria distribution using a hydraulic model and estimated the impact of inundation on public health using a dose–r...

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Main Authors: Kazama, S., Aizawa, T., Watanabe, T., Sarukkalige, Priyantha Ranjan, Gunawardhana, L., Amano, A.
Format: Journal Article
Published: Springer Verlag 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/6253
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author Kazama, S.
Aizawa, T.
Watanabe, T.
Sarukkalige, Priyantha Ranjan
Gunawardhana, L.
Amano, A.
author_facet Kazama, S.
Aizawa, T.
Watanabe, T.
Sarukkalige, Priyantha Ranjan
Gunawardhana, L.
Amano, A.
author_sort Kazama, S.
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description Flooding and inundation are annual events that occur during the rainy season in Cambodia, and inundation has a strong relationship with human health. This study simulated the coliform bacteria distribution using a hydraulic model and estimated the impact of inundation on public health using a dose–response model. The model parameters were calibrated using field survey data from Cambodia and obtained good agreement with the coliform group count distribution. The results suggest that the impact of inundation on human health is most noticeable in residential areas. The annual average risk of infection during medium-sized flood events is 0.21. The risk due to groundwater use ranges from 0.12 to 0.17 in inundation areas and reaches as high as 0.23 outside the inundation areas. The risk attributed to groundwater use is therefore higher than that for surface water use (0.02–0.06), except in densely populated areas at the city center. There is a high risk for infection with waterborne disease in residential areas, and the annual average risk during small flood events is 0.94. An assessment of possible countermeasures to reduce the risk shows that the control of inundation may bring more risk to public health in Cambodia. Shallower inundation water (<0.3 m) leads to a higher risk of infection, but if the depth is greater than 2 m, the risk is low in residential areas.The simulated results explain the spatial distributions of infection risk, which are vitally important for determining the highest priority places with relatively high risk and will be helpful for decision makers when considering the implementation of countermeasures.
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spelling curtin-20.500.11937-62532017-09-13T16:06:09Z A quantitative risk assessment of waterborne infectious disease in the inundation area of a tropical monsoon region Kazama, S. Aizawa, T. Watanabe, T. Sarukkalige, Priyantha Ranjan Gunawardhana, L. Amano, A. The Mekong River Hydrological model The Mekong River – Concentration of coliform bacteria – Dose-response model – Hydrological model Concentration of coliform bacteria Dose-response model Flooding and inundation are annual events that occur during the rainy season in Cambodia, and inundation has a strong relationship with human health. This study simulated the coliform bacteria distribution using a hydraulic model and estimated the impact of inundation on public health using a dose–response model. The model parameters were calibrated using field survey data from Cambodia and obtained good agreement with the coliform group count distribution. The results suggest that the impact of inundation on human health is most noticeable in residential areas. The annual average risk of infection during medium-sized flood events is 0.21. The risk due to groundwater use ranges from 0.12 to 0.17 in inundation areas and reaches as high as 0.23 outside the inundation areas. The risk attributed to groundwater use is therefore higher than that for surface water use (0.02–0.06), except in densely populated areas at the city center. There is a high risk for infection with waterborne disease in residential areas, and the annual average risk during small flood events is 0.94. An assessment of possible countermeasures to reduce the risk shows that the control of inundation may bring more risk to public health in Cambodia. Shallower inundation water (<0.3 m) leads to a higher risk of infection, but if the depth is greater than 2 m, the risk is low in residential areas.The simulated results explain the spatial distributions of infection risk, which are vitally important for determining the highest priority places with relatively high risk and will be helpful for decision makers when considering the implementation of countermeasures. 2012 Journal Article http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/6253 10.1007/s11625-011-0141-5 Springer Verlag fulltext
spellingShingle The Mekong River
Hydrological model
The Mekong River – Concentration of coliform bacteria – Dose-response model – Hydrological model
Concentration of coliform bacteria
Dose-response model
Kazama, S.
Aizawa, T.
Watanabe, T.
Sarukkalige, Priyantha Ranjan
Gunawardhana, L.
Amano, A.
A quantitative risk assessment of waterborne infectious disease in the inundation area of a tropical monsoon region
title A quantitative risk assessment of waterborne infectious disease in the inundation area of a tropical monsoon region
title_full A quantitative risk assessment of waterborne infectious disease in the inundation area of a tropical monsoon region
title_fullStr A quantitative risk assessment of waterborne infectious disease in the inundation area of a tropical monsoon region
title_full_unstemmed A quantitative risk assessment of waterborne infectious disease in the inundation area of a tropical monsoon region
title_short A quantitative risk assessment of waterborne infectious disease in the inundation area of a tropical monsoon region
title_sort quantitative risk assessment of waterborne infectious disease in the inundation area of a tropical monsoon region
topic The Mekong River
Hydrological model
The Mekong River – Concentration of coliform bacteria – Dose-response model – Hydrological model
Concentration of coliform bacteria
Dose-response model
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/6253