The Asia Pacific natural gas market: Large enough for all?

Among naturalgasproducingnations,therehasbeensomeconcernabouthowtheAsiaPacific willmeet future demandforenergy.Wearguethatnaturalgas,bothregionalandglobal,willplayavitalrole. Estimates ofpotentialgasconsumptionintheregionareanalyzedandusedtodevelopconsensus projections to2030.Theseconsumptionprofile...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Aguilera, Roberto F., Inchauspe, Julian, Ripple, R.
Format: Journal Article
Published: Elsevier Science 2014
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421513010343#
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/62429
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Summary:Among naturalgasproducingnations,therehasbeensomeconcernabouthowtheAsiaPacific willmeet future demandforenergy.Wearguethatnaturalgas,bothregionalandglobal,willplayavitalrole. Estimates ofpotentialgasconsumptionintheregionareanalyzedandusedtodevelopconsensus projections to2030.Theseconsumptionprofiles arecomparedwithgassupplyestimatesincluding indigenous, pipelineandLNGfortheAsiaPacific market.Fromthisanalyticalframework,we find that demand willbesufficiently largetoaccommodatesuppliesfromdiversesourcesincludingNorth America, theMiddleEast,CentralAsia,Russia,andtheAsiaPacific itself.Animportantpolicyimplication is thatgasproducingandconsumingnationsshouldbenefit frompromotinggastradeandnotbe concerned aboutasituationofpotentiallackofdemandcoupledwithoversupply.