The stability of money demand and monetary transmission mechanism in Thailand

The major objective of this thesis is to investigate whether there exists a stable long run and short run equilibrium relationship between real money balances (M1 or M2) and their determinants in Thailand. A cointegration analysis and the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) are conducted on quarter...

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Main Author: Raksong, Saranya
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: Curtin University 2010
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/612
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author Raksong, Saranya
author_facet Raksong, Saranya
author_sort Raksong, Saranya
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description The major objective of this thesis is to investigate whether there exists a stable long run and short run equilibrium relationship between real money balances (M1 or M2) and their determinants in Thailand. A cointegration analysis and the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) are conducted on quarterly data over two data set periods, 1980Q1 to 2007Q1 and 1993Q1 to 2007Q1. The results indicate that there exists a long run equilibrium relationship between real money demand (both M1 and M2) and its determinants: real income, price level, exchange rates, and external interest rates.The thesis also used the Vector Autoregression model (VAR) to test the monetary transmission mechanism in Thailand in three different channels of monetary policy: the interest rate channel, the credit channel, and the exchange rate channel. The results find that a change in the M1 money demand has more effect on economic growth while a change in M2 has a stronger effect on the price level. In addition, the results also show that the M1 money demand is responsive to the transmission mechanism in all channels tested in the thesis.
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spelling curtin-20.500.11937-6122017-02-20T06:41:52Z The stability of money demand and monetary transmission mechanism in Thailand Raksong, Saranya monetary transmission mechanism Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) real income price level Thailand real money balances (M1 or M2) long run and short run equilibrium relationship Vector autoregression model (VAR) cointegration analysis determinants external interest rates exchange rates The major objective of this thesis is to investigate whether there exists a stable long run and short run equilibrium relationship between real money balances (M1 or M2) and their determinants in Thailand. A cointegration analysis and the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) are conducted on quarterly data over two data set periods, 1980Q1 to 2007Q1 and 1993Q1 to 2007Q1. The results indicate that there exists a long run equilibrium relationship between real money demand (both M1 and M2) and its determinants: real income, price level, exchange rates, and external interest rates.The thesis also used the Vector Autoregression model (VAR) to test the monetary transmission mechanism in Thailand in three different channels of monetary policy: the interest rate channel, the credit channel, and the exchange rate channel. The results find that a change in the M1 money demand has more effect on economic growth while a change in M2 has a stronger effect on the price level. In addition, the results also show that the M1 money demand is responsive to the transmission mechanism in all channels tested in the thesis. 2010 Thesis http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/612 en Curtin University fulltext
spellingShingle monetary transmission mechanism
Vector Error Correction Model (VECM)
real income
price level
Thailand
real money balances (M1 or M2)
long run and short run equilibrium relationship
Vector autoregression model (VAR)
cointegration analysis
determinants
external interest rates
exchange rates
Raksong, Saranya
The stability of money demand and monetary transmission mechanism in Thailand
title The stability of money demand and monetary transmission mechanism in Thailand
title_full The stability of money demand and monetary transmission mechanism in Thailand
title_fullStr The stability of money demand and monetary transmission mechanism in Thailand
title_full_unstemmed The stability of money demand and monetary transmission mechanism in Thailand
title_short The stability of money demand and monetary transmission mechanism in Thailand
title_sort stability of money demand and monetary transmission mechanism in thailand
topic monetary transmission mechanism
Vector Error Correction Model (VECM)
real income
price level
Thailand
real money balances (M1 or M2)
long run and short run equilibrium relationship
Vector autoregression model (VAR)
cointegration analysis
determinants
external interest rates
exchange rates
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/612