The optimisation rule for investment in mining projects

Investment in mining projects involves significant uncertainty. Project investment is usually high risk, irreversible and challenged by major economic factors. Mining commodity prices in particular always show greater volatility than any other primary products. The variation of these prices is criti...

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Main Authors: Foo, N., Bloch, Harry, Salim, Ruhul
Format: Journal Article
Published: Pergamon Press 2017
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/59406
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author Foo, N.
Bloch, Harry
Salim, Ruhul
author_facet Foo, N.
Bloch, Harry
Salim, Ruhul
author_sort Foo, N.
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description Investment in mining projects involves significant uncertainty. Project investment is usually high risk, irreversible and challenged by major economic factors. Mining commodity prices in particular always show greater volatility than any other primary products. The variation of these prices is critical in the investment decision of whether the project should go ahead, be abandoned or be delayed. This paper examines the impact of mineral price uncertainty on mining investment decisions using examples of projects in the Asia-Pacific region. Applying the mean reversion (MR) model, the commodity trigger value for investment decisions in each project is determined in the context of operational flexibilities. The findings indicate it is sometimes better to wait for a more suitable time to invest.
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spelling curtin-20.500.11937-594062020-11-24T04:30:38Z The optimisation rule for investment in mining projects Foo, N. Bloch, Harry Salim, Ruhul Investment in mining projects involves significant uncertainty. Project investment is usually high risk, irreversible and challenged by major economic factors. Mining commodity prices in particular always show greater volatility than any other primary products. The variation of these prices is critical in the investment decision of whether the project should go ahead, be abandoned or be delayed. This paper examines the impact of mineral price uncertainty on mining investment decisions using examples of projects in the Asia-Pacific region. Applying the mean reversion (MR) model, the commodity trigger value for investment decisions in each project is determined in the context of operational flexibilities. The findings indicate it is sometimes better to wait for a more suitable time to invest. 2017 Journal Article http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/59406 10.1016/j.resourpol.2017.11.005 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ Pergamon Press fulltext
spellingShingle Foo, N.
Bloch, Harry
Salim, Ruhul
The optimisation rule for investment in mining projects
title The optimisation rule for investment in mining projects
title_full The optimisation rule for investment in mining projects
title_fullStr The optimisation rule for investment in mining projects
title_full_unstemmed The optimisation rule for investment in mining projects
title_short The optimisation rule for investment in mining projects
title_sort optimisation rule for investment in mining projects
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/59406