Intra-Hour Cloud Tracking Based on Probability Hypothesis Density Filtering
IEEE Swift variations in the cloud cover may cause significant power output fluctuations in solar power systems, jeopardizing power quality. Forecasting the power output with a very short horizon below 30 seconds can be seen as a cloud cover forecasting problem solved by processing images from a sky...
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
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| Format: | Journal Article |
| Published: |
The Institute of Electrical and Electronic Engineers (IEEE)
2017
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| Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/58574 |
| _version_ | 1848760293997412352 |
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| author | Barbieri, F. Rifflart, C. Vo, Ba Tuong Rajakaruna, Sumedha Ghosh, A. |
| author_facet | Barbieri, F. Rifflart, C. Vo, Ba Tuong Rajakaruna, Sumedha Ghosh, A. |
| author_sort | Barbieri, F. |
| building | Curtin Institutional Repository |
| collection | Online Access |
| description | IEEE Swift variations in the cloud cover may cause significant power output fluctuations in solar power systems, jeopardizing power quality. Forecasting the power output with a very short horizon below 30 seconds can be seen as a cloud cover forecasting problem solved by processing images from a sky camera. After a pre-processing stage that identifies clouds with a criterion based on the red-green blue (RGB) values of each pixel, a Probability Hypothesis Density (PHD) filter or a more advanced Cardinalized Probability Hypothesis Density (CPHD) filter can be used to an unknown and varying number of clouds. The time when cumulus clouds will shade the sun can be forecasted with an absolute precision 6 seconds ahead and with an acceptable accuracy 27 seconds ahead. It has been found that both filters are equally well-suited for a real-time online nowcasting application. They also have the potential to deal with noise and the swift dynamics and high variability of clouds. |
| first_indexed | 2025-11-14T10:13:29Z |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | curtin-20.500.11937-58574 |
| institution | Curtin University Malaysia |
| institution_category | Local University |
| last_indexed | 2025-11-14T10:13:29Z |
| publishDate | 2017 |
| publisher | The Institute of Electrical and Electronic Engineers (IEEE) |
| recordtype | eprints |
| repository_type | Digital Repository |
| spelling | curtin-20.500.11937-585742017-11-24T05:46:58Z Intra-Hour Cloud Tracking Based on Probability Hypothesis Density Filtering Barbieri, F. Rifflart, C. Vo, Ba Tuong Rajakaruna, Sumedha Ghosh, A. IEEE Swift variations in the cloud cover may cause significant power output fluctuations in solar power systems, jeopardizing power quality. Forecasting the power output with a very short horizon below 30 seconds can be seen as a cloud cover forecasting problem solved by processing images from a sky camera. After a pre-processing stage that identifies clouds with a criterion based on the red-green blue (RGB) values of each pixel, a Probability Hypothesis Density (PHD) filter or a more advanced Cardinalized Probability Hypothesis Density (CPHD) filter can be used to an unknown and varying number of clouds. The time when cumulus clouds will shade the sun can be forecasted with an absolute precision 6 seconds ahead and with an acceptable accuracy 27 seconds ahead. It has been found that both filters are equally well-suited for a real-time online nowcasting application. They also have the potential to deal with noise and the swift dynamics and high variability of clouds. 2017 Journal Article http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/58574 10.1109/TSTE.2017.2733258 The Institute of Electrical and Electronic Engineers (IEEE) restricted |
| spellingShingle | Barbieri, F. Rifflart, C. Vo, Ba Tuong Rajakaruna, Sumedha Ghosh, A. Intra-Hour Cloud Tracking Based on Probability Hypothesis Density Filtering |
| title | Intra-Hour Cloud Tracking Based on Probability Hypothesis Density Filtering |
| title_full | Intra-Hour Cloud Tracking Based on Probability Hypothesis Density Filtering |
| title_fullStr | Intra-Hour Cloud Tracking Based on Probability Hypothesis Density Filtering |
| title_full_unstemmed | Intra-Hour Cloud Tracking Based on Probability Hypothesis Density Filtering |
| title_short | Intra-Hour Cloud Tracking Based on Probability Hypothesis Density Filtering |
| title_sort | intra-hour cloud tracking based on probability hypothesis density filtering |
| url | http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/58574 |