Do Urban House Prices Converge?

We investigate two aspects of housing market price dynamics. Firstly, whether the spatial pattern of house prices in a metropolitan housing market converge or diverge over time and secondly, whether suburbs with relatively low (high) house prices 20 years ago continue to occupy the same relative pos...

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Main Authors: Wood, Gavin, Sommervoll, D., de Silva, A.
Format: Journal Article
Published: Routledge 2016
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/53811
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author Wood, Gavin
Sommervoll, D.
de Silva, A.
author_facet Wood, Gavin
Sommervoll, D.
de Silva, A.
author_sort Wood, Gavin
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description We investigate two aspects of housing market price dynamics. Firstly, whether the spatial pattern of house prices in a metropolitan housing market converge or diverge over time and secondly, whether suburbs with relatively low (high) house prices 20 years ago continue to occupy the same relative position in the house price distribution. The empirical work uses a property transaction database for Melbourne to examine the changing distribution of suburban house prices over a nearly 20-year period (1990–2009) that spans two housing cycles. We focus on convergence measures that use Melbourne submarket-based repeat sale house price indexes as a unit of measurement. We find that house prices diverge, and so the gap between low-priced submarkets and high-priced submarkets is increasing. A second key result is that low-priced submarkets typically remain at the low end of the house price distribution, because their rates of appreciation fall short of those at the upper end of the house price distribution. The geography of house price dynamics suggests that the price gradient with respect to distance from the central business district is becoming steeper.
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spelling curtin-20.500.11937-538112017-10-12T07:51:39Z Do Urban House Prices Converge? Wood, Gavin Sommervoll, D. de Silva, A. We investigate two aspects of housing market price dynamics. Firstly, whether the spatial pattern of house prices in a metropolitan housing market converge or diverge over time and secondly, whether suburbs with relatively low (high) house prices 20 years ago continue to occupy the same relative position in the house price distribution. The empirical work uses a property transaction database for Melbourne to examine the changing distribution of suburban house prices over a nearly 20-year period (1990–2009) that spans two housing cycles. We focus on convergence measures that use Melbourne submarket-based repeat sale house price indexes as a unit of measurement. We find that house prices diverge, and so the gap between low-priced submarkets and high-priced submarkets is increasing. A second key result is that low-priced submarkets typically remain at the low end of the house price distribution, because their rates of appreciation fall short of those at the upper end of the house price distribution. The geography of house price dynamics suggests that the price gradient with respect to distance from the central business district is becoming steeper. 2016 Journal Article http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/53811 10.1080/08111146.2015.1047492 Routledge restricted
spellingShingle Wood, Gavin
Sommervoll, D.
de Silva, A.
Do Urban House Prices Converge?
title Do Urban House Prices Converge?
title_full Do Urban House Prices Converge?
title_fullStr Do Urban House Prices Converge?
title_full_unstemmed Do Urban House Prices Converge?
title_short Do Urban House Prices Converge?
title_sort do urban house prices converge?
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/53811