Dynamics of timber market integration in Sweden

© 2015 by the authors.This paper addresses the performance of the timber markets (Scots pine, Pinus silvestris L. and Norway spruce, Picea abies (L.) Karst.) by evaluating the order of market integration in three Swedish regions (Central, Northern, and Southern). Quarterly data of delivery prices ar...

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Main Authors: Jaunky, Vishal, Lundmark, R.
Format: Journal Article
Published: 2015
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/50792
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author Jaunky, Vishal
Lundmark, R.
author_facet Jaunky, Vishal
Lundmark, R.
author_sort Jaunky, Vishal
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description © 2015 by the authors.This paper addresses the performance of the timber markets (Scots pine, Pinus silvestris L. and Norway spruce, Picea abies (L.) Karst.) by evaluating the order of market integration in three Swedish regions (Central, Northern, and Southern). Quarterly data of delivery prices are employed over the period 1999Q1-2012Q4. Various unit root and cointegration tests have been computed. The results indicate that the variables are integrated of first order and co-integrated, especially after controlling for structural breaks. This supports the law-of-one-price hypothesis (LOP). However, the effects of structural shocks on forestry are arguably significant and these are controlled for while performing a vector error-correction mechanism (VECM)-based Granger-causality test. Bi-directional causality between the Northern and central markets is uncovered in the short-run. In the long-run, a similar causal effect is detected between Northern and Southern markets while the central market emerges as the price leader. Further investigation is carried out using variance decompositions and impulse response functions and these approaches also tend to confirm the existence of a single market well, as price interdependence between markets.
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spelling curtin-20.500.11937-507922017-09-13T15:34:51Z Dynamics of timber market integration in Sweden Jaunky, Vishal Lundmark, R. © 2015 by the authors.This paper addresses the performance of the timber markets (Scots pine, Pinus silvestris L. and Norway spruce, Picea abies (L.) Karst.) by evaluating the order of market integration in three Swedish regions (Central, Northern, and Southern). Quarterly data of delivery prices are employed over the period 1999Q1-2012Q4. Various unit root and cointegration tests have been computed. The results indicate that the variables are integrated of first order and co-integrated, especially after controlling for structural breaks. This supports the law-of-one-price hypothesis (LOP). However, the effects of structural shocks on forestry are arguably significant and these are controlled for while performing a vector error-correction mechanism (VECM)-based Granger-causality test. Bi-directional causality between the Northern and central markets is uncovered in the short-run. In the long-run, a similar causal effect is detected between Northern and Southern markets while the central market emerges as the price leader. Further investigation is carried out using variance decompositions and impulse response functions and these approaches also tend to confirm the existence of a single market well, as price interdependence between markets. 2015 Journal Article http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/50792 10.3390/f6124391 unknown
spellingShingle Jaunky, Vishal
Lundmark, R.
Dynamics of timber market integration in Sweden
title Dynamics of timber market integration in Sweden
title_full Dynamics of timber market integration in Sweden
title_fullStr Dynamics of timber market integration in Sweden
title_full_unstemmed Dynamics of timber market integration in Sweden
title_short Dynamics of timber market integration in Sweden
title_sort dynamics of timber market integration in sweden
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/50792