Insights into spatial sensitivities of ice mass response to environmental change from the SeaRISE ice sheet modeling project I: Antarctica

Atmospheric, oceanic, and subglacial forcing scenarios from the Sea-level Response to Ice Sheet Evolution (SeaRISE) project are applied to six three-dimensional thermomechanical ice-sheet models to assess Antarctic ice sheet sensitivity over a 500?year timescale and to inform future modeling and fie...

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Main Authors: Nowicki, S., Bindschadler, R., Abe-Ouchi, A., Aschwanden, A., Bueler, E., Choi, H., Fastook, J., Granzow, G., Greve, R., Gutowski, G., Herzfeld, U., Jackson, C., Johnson, J., Khroulev, C., Larour, E., Levermann, A., Lipscomb, W., Martin, M., Morlighem, M., Parizek, B., Pollard, D., Price, S., Ren, Diandong, Rignot, E., Saito, F., Sato, T., Seddik, H., Seroussi, H., Takahashi, K., Walker, R., Wang, W.
Format: Journal Article
Published: Wiley-Blackwell Publishing 2013
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/49691
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author Nowicki, S.
Bindschadler, R.
Abe-Ouchi, A.
Aschwanden, A.
Bueler, E.
Choi, H.
Fastook, J.
Granzow, G.
Greve, R.
Gutowski, G.
Herzfeld, U.
Jackson, C.
Johnson, J.
Khroulev, C.
Larour, E.
Levermann, A.
Lipscomb, W.
Martin, M.
Morlighem, M.
Parizek, B.
Pollard, D.
Price, S.
Ren, Diandong
Rignot, E.
Saito, F.
Sato, T.
Seddik, H.
Seroussi, H.
Takahashi, K.
Walker, R.
Wang, W.
author_facet Nowicki, S.
Bindschadler, R.
Abe-Ouchi, A.
Aschwanden, A.
Bueler, E.
Choi, H.
Fastook, J.
Granzow, G.
Greve, R.
Gutowski, G.
Herzfeld, U.
Jackson, C.
Johnson, J.
Khroulev, C.
Larour, E.
Levermann, A.
Lipscomb, W.
Martin, M.
Morlighem, M.
Parizek, B.
Pollard, D.
Price, S.
Ren, Diandong
Rignot, E.
Saito, F.
Sato, T.
Seddik, H.
Seroussi, H.
Takahashi, K.
Walker, R.
Wang, W.
author_sort Nowicki, S.
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description Atmospheric, oceanic, and subglacial forcing scenarios from the Sea-level Response to Ice Sheet Evolution (SeaRISE) project are applied to six three-dimensional thermomechanical ice-sheet models to assess Antarctic ice sheet sensitivity over a 500?year timescale and to inform future modeling and field studies. Results indicate (i) growth with warming, except within low-latitude basins (where inland thickening is outpaced by marginal thinning); (ii) mass loss with enhanced sliding (with basins dominated by high driving stresses affected more than basins with low-surface-slope streaming ice); and (iii) mass loss with enhanced ice shelf melting (with changes in West Antarctica dominating the signal due to its marine setting and extensive ice shelves; cf. minimal impact in the Terre Adelie, George V, Oates, and Victoria Land region of East Antarctica). Ice loss due to dynamic changes associated with enhanced sliding and/or sub-shelf melting exceeds the gain due to increased precipitation. Furthermore, differences in results between and within basins as well as the controlling impact of sub-shelf melting on ice dynamics highlight the need for improved understanding of basal conditions, grounding-zone processes, ocean-ice interactions, and the numerical representation of all three.
first_indexed 2025-11-14T09:41:43Z
format Journal Article
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institution Curtin University Malaysia
institution_category Local University
last_indexed 2025-11-14T09:41:43Z
publishDate 2013
publisher Wiley-Blackwell Publishing
recordtype eprints
repository_type Digital Repository
spelling curtin-20.500.11937-496912017-09-21T00:14:41Z Insights into spatial sensitivities of ice mass response to environmental change from the SeaRISE ice sheet modeling project I: Antarctica Nowicki, S. Bindschadler, R. Abe-Ouchi, A. Aschwanden, A. Bueler, E. Choi, H. Fastook, J. Granzow, G. Greve, R. Gutowski, G. Herzfeld, U. Jackson, C. Johnson, J. Khroulev, C. Larour, E. Levermann, A. Lipscomb, W. Martin, M. Morlighem, M. Parizek, B. Pollard, D. Price, S. Ren, Diandong Rignot, E. Saito, F. Sato, T. Seddik, H. Seroussi, H. Takahashi, K. Walker, R. Wang, W. ensemble model Antarctica ice-sheet sea-level Atmospheric, oceanic, and subglacial forcing scenarios from the Sea-level Response to Ice Sheet Evolution (SeaRISE) project are applied to six three-dimensional thermomechanical ice-sheet models to assess Antarctic ice sheet sensitivity over a 500?year timescale and to inform future modeling and field studies. Results indicate (i) growth with warming, except within low-latitude basins (where inland thickening is outpaced by marginal thinning); (ii) mass loss with enhanced sliding (with basins dominated by high driving stresses affected more than basins with low-surface-slope streaming ice); and (iii) mass loss with enhanced ice shelf melting (with changes in West Antarctica dominating the signal due to its marine setting and extensive ice shelves; cf. minimal impact in the Terre Adelie, George V, Oates, and Victoria Land region of East Antarctica). Ice loss due to dynamic changes associated with enhanced sliding and/or sub-shelf melting exceeds the gain due to increased precipitation. Furthermore, differences in results between and within basins as well as the controlling impact of sub-shelf melting on ice dynamics highlight the need for improved understanding of basal conditions, grounding-zone processes, ocean-ice interactions, and the numerical representation of all three. 2013 Journal Article http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/49691 10.1002/jgrf.20081 Wiley-Blackwell Publishing unknown
spellingShingle ensemble
model
Antarctica
ice-sheet
sea-level
Nowicki, S.
Bindschadler, R.
Abe-Ouchi, A.
Aschwanden, A.
Bueler, E.
Choi, H.
Fastook, J.
Granzow, G.
Greve, R.
Gutowski, G.
Herzfeld, U.
Jackson, C.
Johnson, J.
Khroulev, C.
Larour, E.
Levermann, A.
Lipscomb, W.
Martin, M.
Morlighem, M.
Parizek, B.
Pollard, D.
Price, S.
Ren, Diandong
Rignot, E.
Saito, F.
Sato, T.
Seddik, H.
Seroussi, H.
Takahashi, K.
Walker, R.
Wang, W.
Insights into spatial sensitivities of ice mass response to environmental change from the SeaRISE ice sheet modeling project I: Antarctica
title Insights into spatial sensitivities of ice mass response to environmental change from the SeaRISE ice sheet modeling project I: Antarctica
title_full Insights into spatial sensitivities of ice mass response to environmental change from the SeaRISE ice sheet modeling project I: Antarctica
title_fullStr Insights into spatial sensitivities of ice mass response to environmental change from the SeaRISE ice sheet modeling project I: Antarctica
title_full_unstemmed Insights into spatial sensitivities of ice mass response to environmental change from the SeaRISE ice sheet modeling project I: Antarctica
title_short Insights into spatial sensitivities of ice mass response to environmental change from the SeaRISE ice sheet modeling project I: Antarctica
title_sort insights into spatial sensitivities of ice mass response to environmental change from the searise ice sheet modeling project i: antarctica
topic ensemble
model
Antarctica
ice-sheet
sea-level
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/49691