Security assessment in active distribution networks with change in weather patterns

© 2014 IEEE. Security of supply of an active distribution network is constrained with increased presence of intermittent distributed generation, component outages, network constraints, change in weather patterns, and resource availability. Long term predictions of weather patterns are challenging, h...

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Main Authors: Jayaweera, D., Islam, Syed
Format: Conference Paper
Published: 2014
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/46896
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author Jayaweera, D.
Islam, Syed
author_facet Jayaweera, D.
Islam, Syed
author_sort Jayaweera, D.
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description © 2014 IEEE. Security of supply of an active distribution network is constrained with increased presence of intermittent distributed generation, component outages, network constraints, change in weather patterns, and resource availability. Long term predictions of weather patterns are challenging, however, potential vulnerability of networks into change in weather patterns can be modeled with uncertainties distributing along the time frame of study. This paper investigates this problem in detail and proposes an improved approach to model the change in weather patterns and to assess the security of supply in an active distribution network. The approach incorporates Monte Carlo simulation and captures weather patterns in three modes dynamically. A case study is performed on a 24 bus active distribution network model, and the results suggest that the security of supply can be significantly affected with change in weather patterns. Change in weather patterns by 50% of the nominal weather can result in impacts on security of supply up to three times the nominal impacts.
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spelling curtin-20.500.11937-468962017-09-13T14:02:54Z Security assessment in active distribution networks with change in weather patterns Jayaweera, D. Islam, Syed © 2014 IEEE. Security of supply of an active distribution network is constrained with increased presence of intermittent distributed generation, component outages, network constraints, change in weather patterns, and resource availability. Long term predictions of weather patterns are challenging, however, potential vulnerability of networks into change in weather patterns can be modeled with uncertainties distributing along the time frame of study. This paper investigates this problem in detail and proposes an improved approach to model the change in weather patterns and to assess the security of supply in an active distribution network. The approach incorporates Monte Carlo simulation and captures weather patterns in three modes dynamically. A case study is performed on a 24 bus active distribution network model, and the results suggest that the security of supply can be significantly affected with change in weather patterns. Change in weather patterns by 50% of the nominal weather can result in impacts on security of supply up to three times the nominal impacts. 2014 Conference Paper http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/46896 10.1109/PMAPS.2014.6960584 restricted
spellingShingle Jayaweera, D.
Islam, Syed
Security assessment in active distribution networks with change in weather patterns
title Security assessment in active distribution networks with change in weather patterns
title_full Security assessment in active distribution networks with change in weather patterns
title_fullStr Security assessment in active distribution networks with change in weather patterns
title_full_unstemmed Security assessment in active distribution networks with change in weather patterns
title_short Security assessment in active distribution networks with change in weather patterns
title_sort security assessment in active distribution networks with change in weather patterns
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/46896